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Süper Lig

Referee: Ü Öztürk

Hatayspor

T U T T U

0–1

Full-time

Bodrumspor

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Bodrumspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 19%

17%

20%

Points per game

0,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

50%

40%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,4

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,77 xG 0,77

66% Possession 34%

13 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Bodrumspor 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+13	+7.0	15
2	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+11	+6.3	13
3	Besiktas	4	3	1	0	+6	+4.6	10
4	Buyuksehyr	5	3	1	1	+4	+0.0	10
5	Eyüpspor	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.4	9
6	Samsunspor	5	3	0	2	+3	+3.5	9
7	Konyaspor	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.6	7
8	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	-1	-4.6	7
9	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	-3	-4.0	7
10	Goztep	4	1	3	0	+2	-1.4	6
11	Kasimpasa	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.1	5
12	Trabzonspor	4	0	4	0	+0	-1.0	4
13	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-10	-2.7	4
14	Kayserispor	4	0	3	1	-1	-1.0	3
15	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.1	3
16	Alanyaspor	5	0	3	2	-5	+0.7	3
17	Bodrumspor	5	1	0	4	-5	+0.4	3
18	Hatayspor	5	0	2	3	-5	-6.1	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	1	4	-7	-1.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+8	+7.7	9
2	Antalyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
3	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.5	6
4	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.1	6
5	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
6	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
7	Goztep	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
9	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.2	3
10	Alanyaspor	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.3	3
11	Samsunspor	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.7	3
12	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
13	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
14	Konyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.8	1
15	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.2	1
16	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.4	1
17	Rizespor	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.2	1
18	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
19	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.2	7
2	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.8	6
3	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
4	Konyaspor	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
5	Eyüpspor	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.4	5
6	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
7	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
8	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.5	4
9	Sivasspor	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.8	3
10	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.2	3
11	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	-4	-3.0	3
12	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.3	2
13	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
14	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
15	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.7	1
16	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.1	1
17	Antalyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.7	0
18	Alanyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.6	0
19	Bodrumspor	2	0	0	2	-5	+0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.