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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Standard

T U S T S

0–0

Full-time

St. Gilloise

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 20%

40%

Both score Ø 20%

40%

Average goals

0,8

2,4

Scored

0,5

1,4

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,58 xG 2,07

35% Possession 65%

8 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Standard 8. · St. Gilloise 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	6	4	0	2	+6	+4.7	12
2	Dender	6	3	2	1	+4	+0.9	11
3	Club Brugge	5	3	1	1	+6	+6.1	10
4	Genk	5	3	1	1	+1	+8.3	10
5	Gent	5	3	0	2	+4	-0.6	9
6	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+3	+2.7	8
7	St. Gilloise	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.8	8
8	Standard	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
9	Westerlo	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.4	7
10	Antwerp	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.3	6
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	1	3	1	+1	+0.9	6
12	St Truiden	6	1	2	3	-8	-5.2	5
13	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.1	4
14	Kortrijk	5	1	0	4	-7	-1.7	3
15	Cercle Brugge	4	0	1	3	-7	-9.3	1
16	Beerschot VA	6	0	1	5	-8	-7.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	4	3	0	1	+4	+3.7	9
2	Gent	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.4	6
3	Westerlo	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.7	6
4	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.0	6
5	Standard	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
6	Anderlecht	3	1	2	0	+1	+2.0	5
7	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	-2	-3.4	5
8	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.0	4
9	Dender	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.5	4
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
11	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.8	4
12	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.2	3
13	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.4	3
14	Beerschot VA	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.3	1
15	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.7	0
16	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.4	7
2	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.2	6
3	Genk	3	2	0	1	+0	+5.5	6
4	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.5	4
5	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
6	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
7	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
8	Gent	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.9	3
9	St. Gilloise	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.2	2
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.4	2
11	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
12	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
13	Cercle Brugge	3	0	1	2	-6	-5.6	1
14	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.4	0
15	Beerschot VA	3	0	0	3	-6	-4.8	0
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.