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Ligue 2

Referee: A Valnet

Bastia

U U S S U

2–1

Full-time

Paris FC

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

50%

75%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

34% Possession 66%

15 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 2

The table before the match Bastia 6. · Paris FC 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Paris FC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Lorient	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Pau FC	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Metz	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Bastia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Annecy	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Grenoble	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Ajaccio	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Amiens	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Dunkerque	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Red Star	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	Clermont	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Martigues	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Laval	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Caen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Troyes	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Rodez	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Grenoble	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Ajaccio	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Paris FC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Laval	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Clermont	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Caen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Martigues	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Rodez	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Guingamp	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Annecy	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Martigues	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Red Star	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Pau FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Laval	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Grenoble	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Rodez	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Caen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.