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Serie B
Referee: A Prontera
Cesena
S U S S U
0–0
Full-time
Spezia
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 43%
38%
48%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
41%
38%
Both score Ø 52%
59%
45%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 18
0 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cesena 6. · Spezia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 29 20 6 3 +34 66
2 Pisa 29 16 7 6 +17 55
3 Spezia 29 14 12 3 +23 54
4 Cremonese 30 13 9 8 +15 48
5 Catanzaro 29 9 16 4 +5 43
6 Cesena 29 11 8 10 +2 41
7 Juve Stabia 29 10 10 9 -1 40
8 Palermo 30 10 9 11 +5 39
9 Bari 29 8 15 6 +4 39
10 Modena 29 7 14 8 +1 35
11 Cittadella 29 9 7 13 -19 34
12 Sudtirol 29 9 6 14 -8 33
13 Carrarese 29 8 8 13 -10 32
14 Brescia 29 6 13 10 -6 31
15 Reggiana 29 7 10 12 -6 31
16 Sampdoria 29 6 13 10 -7 31
17 Mantova 29 6 12 11 -10 30
18 Frosinone 29 6 12 11 -15 30
19 Salernitana 29 7 8 14 -12 29
20 Cosenza 29 6 11 12 -12 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Sep -24 Spezia – Cesena 2–1

Match report

Cesena Spezia
Half-time 0–0
Giacomo Calò ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
57′
Andrea Ciofi 🟨
63′
68′
ℹ️ Gianluca Lapadula
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Matteo Pisseri 🟨
69′
69′
Gianluca Lapadula
penalty missed
71′
🟨 Rachid Kouda
E. Tavşan 🔁
↦ S. Bastoni
74′
75′
🔁 L. Vignali
↦ S. Elia
75′
🔁 P. Candelari
↦ R. Kouda
F. Russo 🔁
↦ C. Shpendi
82′
J. Ceesay 🔁
↦ E. Adamo
82′
L. Mendicino 🔁
↦ G. Calò
82′
82′
🔁 G. Di Serio
↦ G. Lapadula
83′
🔁 F. Cassata
↦ F. Bandinelli
86′
🔁 D. Falcinelli
↦ Á. Nagy
88′
🟨 Luca Vignali
D. Šarić 🔁
↦ T. Berti
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cesena

3-5-1-1
1 M. Pisseri G
15 A. Ciofi D
19 G. Prestia D
26 M. Piacentini D
17 E. Adamo M
70 M. Francesconi M
35 G. Calò M
30 S. Bastoni M
13 R. Celia M
14 T. Berti F
9 C. Shpendi F
Bench (9)
20 E. Tavşan
91 F. Russo
11 J. Ceesay
5 L. Mendicino
8 D. Šarić
73 S. Pieraccini
92 V. Coveri
93 A. Siano
7 D. Donnarumma

Coach: M. Mignani

Spezia

3-5-2
23 L. Chichizola G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
77 N. Bertola D
7 S. Elia M
80 R. Kouda M
8 Á. Nagy M
25 F. Bandinelli M
13 A. Reca M
10 G. Lapadula F
9 F. Esposito F
Bench (12)
32 L. Vignali
36 P. Candelari
20 G. Di Serio
29 F. Cassata
11 D. Falcinelli
66 S. Gori
4 Salvador Ferrer
44 M. Benvenuto
65 S. Giorgeschi
31 G. Aurelio
17 A. Čolak
82 H. Djankpata

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,93
U ✓
3,04
B
2,07
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.