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Serie B

Referee: D Rutella

Frosinone

U U U S S

2–1

Full-time

Brescia

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,3

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 21%

21%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

41%

38%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

13 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 11

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Frosinone 18. · Brescia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	29	20	6	3	+34	66
2	Pisa	29	16	7	6	+17	55
3	Spezia	29	14	12	3	+23	54
4	Cremonese	30	13	9	8	+15	48
5	Catanzaro	29	9	16	4	+5	43
6	Cesena	29	11	8	10	+2	41
7	Juve Stabia	29	10	10	9	-1	40
8	Palermo	30	10	9	11	+5	39
9	Bari	29	8	15	6	+4	39
10	Modena	29	7	14	8	+1	35
11	Cittadella	29	9	7	13	-19	34
12	Sudtirol	29	9	6	14	-8	33
13	Carrarese	29	8	8	13	-10	32
14	Brescia	29	6	13	10	-6	31
15	Reggiana	29	7	10	12	-6	31
16	Sampdoria	29	6	13	10	-7	31
17	Mantova	29	6	12	11	-10	30
18	Frosinone	29	6	12	11	-15	30
19	Salernitana	29	7	8	14	-12	29
20	Cosenza	29	6	11	12	-12	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	12	2	1	+23	38
2	Pisa	14	10	3	1	+16	33
3	Spezia	14	9	4	1	+15	31
4	Cesena	14	7	5	2	+8	26
5	Catanzaro	15	6	7	2	+8	25
6	Carrarese	15	7	4	4	+3	25
7	Juve Stabia	14	7	3	4	+4	24
8	Cremonese	15	6	5	4	+5	23
9	Bari	15	5	8	2	+4	23
10	Modena	14	5	7	2	+6	22
11	Palermo	15	6	4	5	+4	22
12	Salernitana	15	6	4	5	+1	22
13	Mantova	14	5	5	4	-1	20
14	Sampdoria	15	4	6	5	-1	18
15	Cosenza	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Brescia	15	3	8	4	+0	17
17	Reggiana	14	4	5	5	-1	17
18	Sudtirol	14	4	4	6	-5	16
19	Frosinone	15	3	7	5	-7	16
20	Cittadella	14	2	6	6	-9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	14	8	4	2	+11	28
2	Cremonese	15	7	4	4	+10	25
3	Spezia	15	5	8	2	+8	23
4	Pisa	15	6	4	5	+1	22
5	Cittadella	15	7	1	7	-10	22
6	Catanzaro	14	3	9	2	-3	18
7	Palermo	15	4	5	6	+1	17
8	Sudtirol	15	5	2	8	-3	17
9	Bari	14	3	7	4	+0	16
10	Juve Stabia	15	3	7	5	-5	16
11	Cesena	15	4	3	8	-6	15
12	Reggiana	15	3	5	7	-5	14
13	Brescia	14	3	5	6	-6	14
14	Frosinone	14	3	5	6	-8	14
15	Modena	15	2	7	6	-5	13
16	Sampdoria	14	2	7	5	-6	13
17	Cosenza	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Mantova	15	1	7	7	-9	10
19	Carrarese	14	1	4	9	-13	7
20	Salernitana	14	1	4	9	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.