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Serie B

Referee: M Perri

Palermo

T T U U S

1–0

Full-time

Brescia

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 28%

33%

22%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

41%

Both score Ø 52%

48%

56%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

26 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 9. · Brescia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	28	20	5	3	+34	65
2	Pisa	28	16	7	5	+18	55
3	Spezia	28	13	12	3	+22	51
4	Cremonese	28	11	9	8	+10	42
5	Catanzaro	27	9	15	3	+9	42
6	Cesena	28	11	7	10	+2	40
7	Juve Stabia	28	10	9	9	-1	39
8	Bari	27	8	13	6	+4	37
9	Palermo	27	9	8	10	+5	35
10	Modena	27	7	13	7	+2	34
11	Cittadella	28	9	7	12	-15	34
12	Carrarese	28	8	8	12	-9	32
13	Brescia	27	6	12	9	-5	30
14	Reggiana	27	7	9	11	-5	30
15	Sudtirol	28	8	6	14	-12	30
16	Sampdoria	27	6	11	10	-7	29
17	Mantova	28	6	11	11	-10	29
18	Frosinone	28	5	12	11	-16	27
19	Salernitana	28	6	8	14	-13	26
20	Cosenza	27	5	10	12	-13	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	14	12	1	1	+23	37
2	Pisa	14	10	3	1	+16	33
3	Spezia	13	8	4	1	+14	28
4	Cesena	14	7	5	2	+8	26
5	Carrarese	14	7	4	3	+4	25
6	Catanzaro	14	6	6	2	+8	24
7	Juve Stabia	14	7	3	4	+4	24
8	Bari	14	5	7	2	+4	22
9	Modena	13	5	6	2	+6	21
10	Cremonese	14	5	5	4	+1	20
11	Palermo	13	5	4	4	+4	19
12	Salernitana	14	5	4	5	+0	19
13	Mantova	13	5	4	4	-1	19
14	Reggiana	14	4	5	5	-1	17
15	Sampdoria	14	4	5	5	-1	17
16	Brescia	14	3	7	4	+0	16
17	Sudtirol	14	4	4	6	-5	16
18	Frosinone	15	3	7	5	-7	16
19	Cosenza	14	3	6	5	-5	15
20	Cittadella	13	2	6	5	-5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	14	8	4	2	+11	28
2	Spezia	15	5	8	2	+8	23
3	Cremonese	14	6	4	4	+9	22
4	Pisa	14	6	4	4	+2	22
5	Cittadella	15	7	1	7	-10	22
6	Catanzaro	13	3	9	1	+1	18
7	Palermo	14	4	4	6	+1	16
8	Bari	13	3	6	4	+0	15
9	Juve Stabia	14	3	6	5	-5	15
10	Brescia	13	3	5	5	-5	14
11	Cesena	14	4	2	8	-6	14
12	Sudtirol	14	4	2	8	-7	14
13	Modena	14	2	7	5	-4	13
14	Reggiana	13	3	4	6	-4	13
15	Sampdoria	13	2	6	5	-6	12
16	Frosinone	13	2	5	6	-9	11
17	Cosenza	13	2	4	7	-8	10
18	Mantova	15	1	7	7	-9	10
19	Carrarese	14	1	4	9	-13	7
20	Salernitana	14	1	4	9	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.