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Serie B
Referee: G Manganiello
Brescia
T S U T T
1–1
Full-time
Spezia
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 22
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Brescia 9. · Spezia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 10 6 3 1 +11 21
2 Pisa 10 6 3 1 +6 21
3 Spezia 10 5 5 0 +7 20
4 Cremonese 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Palermo 10 4 3 3 +3 15
6 Juve Stabia 10 4 3 3 +0 15
7 Sampdoria 10 4 2 4 +2 14
8 Cesena 10 4 2 4 +1 14
9 Brescia 10 4 1 5 -2 13
10 Bari 10 2 6 2 +2 12
11 Catanzaro 10 2 6 2 +2 12
12 Reggiana 10 3 3 4 -1 12
13 Mantova 10 3 3 4 -3 12
14 Sudtirol 10 4 0 6 -4 12
15 Carrarese 10 3 2 5 -2 11
16 Cosenza 10 2 5 3 -2 11
17 Salernitana 10 3 2 5 -3 11
18 Modena 10 2 4 4 -2 10
19 Cittadella 10 2 3 5 -9 9
20 Frosinone 10 1 4 5 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Spezia
14′
🟨 Nicolò Bertola
32′
G. Di Serio 0–1
Half-time 0–1
A. Jurič 🔁
↦ M. Bertagnoli
46′
46′
🔁 Á. Nagy
↦ F. Cassata
48′
🟨 Giuseppe Di Serio
49′
🟨 Luca Vignali
1–1 M. Verreth
52′
62′
🔁 F. Esposito
↦ A. Čolak
62′
🔁 E. Soleri
↦ G. Di Serio
Ante Matej Jurić 🟨
66′
Gennaro Borrelli 🟨
70′
Andrea Cistana 🟨
70′
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ G. Olzer
78′
78′
🔁 R. Kouda
↦ P. Candelari
Lorenzo Dickmann 🟨
82′
N. Corrado 🔁
↦ R. Fogliata
86′
87′
🟨 Luca Vignali
87′
🟥 Luca Vignali
Birkir Bjarnason 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
24 L. Dickmann D
15 A. Cistana D
28 D. Adorni D
18 A. Jallow D
21 R. Fogliata M
6 M. Verreth M
39 M. Besaggio M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
27 G. Olzer F
29 G. Borrelli F
Bench (10)
7 A. Jurič
8 B. Bjarnason
19 N. Corrado
22 L. Andrenacci
20 P. Nuamah
4 F. Paghera
16 T. Buhagiar
9 F. Bianchi
32 A. Papetti
5 G. Calvani

Coach: R. Maran

Spezia

3-5-2
66 S. Gori G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
77 N. Bertola D
37 A. Matějů M
29 F. Cassata M
5 S. Esposito M
36 P. Candelari M
32 L. Vignali M
20 G. Di Serio F
17 A. Čolak F
Bench (12)
8 Á. Nagy
9 F. Esposito
27 E. Soleri
80 R. Kouda
65 S. Giorgeschi
44 M. Benvenuto
12 D. Mascardi
6 D. Degli Innocenti
95 N. Mosti
4 Salvador Ferrer
7 S. Elia
11 D. Falcinelli

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,39
U ✓
3,09
B
2,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.