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Serie B

Referee: K Bonacina

Carrarese

T T T T T

3–2

Full-time

Salernitana

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Salernitana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,5

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 26%

28%

24%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

36%

40%

Both score Ø 42%

36%

48%

Average goals

2,1

2,2

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%

16 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Carrarese 16. · Salernitana 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	25	18	4	3	+31	58
2	Pisa	25	15	6	4	+17	51
3	Spezia	25	13	10	2	+23	49
4	Cremonese	25	11	7	7	+11	40
5	Catanzaro	26	8	15	3	+8	39
6	Juve Stabia	25	9	9	7	-1	36
7	Bari	25	7	12	6	+3	33
8	Cesena	25	9	6	10	-1	33
9	Palermo	25	8	7	10	+2	31
10	Cittadella	26	8	7	11	-14	31
11	Modena	25	6	12	7	+0	30
12	Brescia	25	6	11	8	-3	29
13	Reggiana	25	7	7	11	-5	28
14	Sampdoria	25	6	10	9	-6	28
15	Mantova	25	6	10	9	-8	28
16	Carrarese	25	7	6	12	-10	27
17	Cosenza	25	5	10	10	-7	25
18	Salernitana	25	6	7	12	-10	25
19	Sudtirol	25	7	4	14	-13	25
20	Frosinone	25	4	10	11	-17	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	12	10	1	1	+20	31
2	Pisa	13	9	3	1	+14	30
3	Spezia	12	8	4	0	+15	28
4	Catanzaro	14	6	6	2	+8	24
5	Cesena	12	6	4	2	+6	22
6	Bari	13	5	6	2	+4	21
7	Carrarese	12	6	3	3	+3	21
8	Juve Stabia	12	6	3	3	+2	21
9	Modena	12	5	5	2	+6	20
10	Cremonese	13	5	5	3	+2	20
11	Mantova	12	5	4	3	+0	19
12	Palermo	12	5	3	4	+4	18
13	Salernitana	13	5	3	5	+0	18
14	Reggiana	13	4	4	5	-1	16
15	Sampdoria	13	4	4	5	-1	16
16	Brescia	13	3	6	4	+0	15
17	Cosenza	13	3	6	4	-2	15
18	Cittadella	12	2	6	4	-3	12
19	Sudtirol	12	3	3	6	-6	12
20	Frosinone	13	2	6	5	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	13	8	3	2	+11	27
2	Spezia	13	5	6	2	+8	21
3	Pisa	12	6	3	3	+3	21
4	Cremonese	12	6	2	4	+9	20
5	Cittadella	14	6	1	7	-11	19
6	Catanzaro	12	2	9	1	+0	15
7	Juve Stabia	13	3	6	4	-3	15
8	Brescia	12	3	5	4	-3	14
9	Palermo	13	3	4	6	-2	13
10	Sudtirol	13	4	1	8	-7	13
11	Bari	12	2	6	4	-1	12
12	Reggiana	12	3	3	6	-4	12
13	Sampdoria	12	2	6	4	-5	12
14	Cesena	13	3	2	8	-7	11
15	Cosenza	12	2	4	6	-5	10
16	Modena	13	1	7	5	-6	10
17	Frosinone	12	2	4	6	-9	10
18	Mantova	13	1	6	6	-8	9
19	Salernitana	12	1	4	7	-10	7
20	Carrarese	13	1	3	9	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.