Serie B
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Modena
Pescara
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 11 |
| 2 |
Palermo
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 3 |
Cesena
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 |
Modena
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 5 |
Avellino
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 |
Sudtirol
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 |
Venezia
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |
Juve Stabia
|
5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 9 |
Monza
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | 7 |
| 10 |
Padova
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 |
Carrarese
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Catanzaro
|
5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Reggiana
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Virtus Entella
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |
Pescara
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 |
Empoli
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Mantova
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 |
Bari
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 19 |
Spezia
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 |
Sampdoria
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Chichizola
G
D. Tonoli
D
D. Adorni
D
C. Cauz
D
F. Zampano
M
F. Gerli
M
S. Santoro
M
E. Gliozzi
F
Coach: Andrea Sottil
S. Desplanches
G
A. Oliveri
M
M. Dagasso
M
N. Squizzato
M
T. Corazza
M
G. Olzer
F
A. Di Nardo
F
Coach: Vincenzo Vivarini
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mantova
Modena
Modena
Bari
Modena
Avellino
Sampdoria
Modena
Torino
Modena
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.