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Serie B
Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta
Modena
T S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Pescara
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Pescara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 0
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 4. · Pescara 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 5 3 2 0 +7 11
2 Palermo 5 3 2 0 +5 11
3 Cesena 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Modena 4 3 1 0 +7 10
5 Avellino 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Sudtirol 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Venezia 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Juve Stabia 5 1 4 0 +2 7
9 Monza 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Padova 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Carrarese 4 1 2 1 +1 5
12 Catanzaro 5 0 5 0 +0 5
13 Reggiana 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Virtus Entella 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Pescara 4 1 1 2 +1 4
16 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -4 4
17 Mantova 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Bari 5 0 2 3 -6 2
19 Spezia 5 0 2 3 -6 2
20 Sampdoria 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Pescara
3′
🟨 Filippo Pellacani
Daniel Tonoli 🟨
7′
Cristian Cauz 🟨
9′
Francesco Di Mariano 🟨
12′
A. Dellavalle 🔁
↦ C. Cauz
31′
40′
G. Olzer 0–1
T. Corazza
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 A. Gravillon
↦ F. Pellacani
Alessandro Sersanti ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
49′
1–1 E. Gliozzi
52′
56′
🟨 Riccardo Brosco
2–1 A. Sersanti
F. Di Mariano
58′
64′
🟨 Luca Valzania
G. Defrel 🔁
↦ F. Di Mariano
65′
N. Pyyhtia 🔁
↦ A. Sersanti
66′
69′
🔁 D. Merola
↦ L. Valzania
69′
🔁 G. Cangiano
↦ T. Corazza
78′
🔁 L. Meazzi
↦ N. Squizzato
78′
🔁 O. Okwonkwo
↦ G. Olzer
L. Magnino 🔁
↦ S. Santoro
79′
P. Mendes 🔁
↦ E. Gliozzi
79′
87′
ℹ️ Lorenzo Meazzi
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Modena

3-5-2
1 L. Chichizola G
77 D. Tonoli D
28 D. Adorni D
33 C. Cauz D
7 F. Zampano M
5 A. Sersanti M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
23 F. Di Mariano F
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (12)
22 M. Pezzolato
78 F. Bagheria
3 F. Ponsi
6 L. Magnino
11 P. Mendes
17 Y. Massolin
18 N. Pyyhtia
19 S. Nador
20 B. Nieling
25 A. Dellavalle
29 M. Cotali
92 G. Defrel

Coach: Andrea Sottil

Pescara

3-4-2-1
1 S. Desplanches G
2 R. Capellini D
13 R. Brosco D
23 F. Pellacani D
33 A. Oliveri M
8 M. Dagasso M
6 N. Squizzato M
16 T. Corazza M
14 L. Valzania F
27 G. Olzer F
9 A. Di Nardo F
Bench (12)
22 I. Saio
3 G. Letizia
5 J. Brandes
7 L. Meazzi
10 D. Merola
11 G. Cangiano
17 O. Okwonkwo
18 L. Sgarbi
20 L. Graziani
26 A. Gravillon
31 A. Vinciguerra
95 G. Corbo

Coach: Vincenzo Vivarini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
3,75
B
5,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.