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Serie B

Referee: M Perri

Virtus Entella

T T T S S

1–2

Full-time

Avellino

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Virtus Entella Avellino

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 26%

24%

28%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

34%

48%

Both score Ø 54%

55%

52%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,40 xG 0,56

59% Possession 41%

19 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Virtus Entella 15. · Avellino 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Venezia	30	19	7	4	+35	+27.5	64
2	Monza	30	19	6	5	+24	+12.3	63
3	Frosinone	30	16	11	3	+27	+7.5	59
4	Palermo	30	16	9	5	+24	+8.7	57
5	Catanzaro	30	14	10	6	+13	+1.9	52
6	Modena	30	13	8	9	+16	+9.6	47
7	Juve Stabia	30	9	14	7	-2	+1.5	41
8	Cesena	30	11	7	12	-5	+4.4	40
9	Sudtirol	29	8	13	8	+2	-2.6	37
10	Padova	30	8	10	12	-8	-6.9	34
11	Carrarese	30	7	12	11	-6	-8.5	33
12	Avellino	29	8	9	12	-15	-14.7	33
13	Empoli	30	7	11	12	-6	+1.0	32
14	Sampdoria	30	7	10	13	-11	-1.6	31
15	Virtus Entella	29	7	10	12	-13	-11.2	31
16	Mantova	30	8	7	15	-14	-0.6	31
17	Bari	30	7	10	13	-16	-17.0	31
18	Spezia	30	7	8	15	-13	-1.5	29
19	Reggiana	30	7	8	15	-16	-6.5	29
20	Pescara	29	5	10	14	-16	-3.2	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Venezia	15	13	0	2	+24	+13.8	39
2	Monza	15	12	2	1	+19	+9.8	38
3	Palermo	15	11	3	1	+21	+6.2	36
4	Catanzaro	15	8	6	1	+10	+2.7	30
5	Frosinone	14	8	4	2	+16	+5.2	28
6	Juve Stabia	15	6	8	1	+7	+3.5	26
7	Modena	16	7	4	5	+10	+1.5	25
8	Virtus Entella	14	6	6	2	+5	-3.6	24
9	Sampdoria	15	6	5	4	+2	+2.3	23
10	Avellino	15	6	4	5	-3	-6.9	22
11	Carrarese	15	5	6	4	+5	+1.6	21
12	Mantova	15	6	3	6	-4	+2.7	21
13	Bari	15	5	5	5	+0	-7.9	20
14	Empoli	16	3	10	3	+4	+5.4	19
15	Sudtirol	14	5	4	5	+3	-3.0	19
16	Cesena	15	5	4	6	-2	+5.1	19
17	Pescara	15	4	5	6	+0	-0.6	17
18	Reggiana	14	4	5	5	-3	-1.9	17
19	Padova	15	3	7	5	-3	-4.8	16
20	Spezia	15	4	4	7	-6	-0.4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Frosinone	16	8	7	1	+11	+2.3	31
2	Venezia	15	6	7	2	+11	+13.7	25
3	Monza	15	7	4	4	+5	+2.5	25
4	Modena	14	6	4	4	+6	+8.1	22
5	Catanzaro	15	6	4	5	+3	-0.8	22
6	Palermo	15	5	6	4	+3	+2.5	21
7	Cesena	15	6	3	6	-3	-0.7	21
8	Sudtirol	15	3	9	3	-1	+0.5	18
9	Padova	15	5	3	7	-5	-2.1	18
10	Juve Stabia	15	3	6	6	-9	-2.0	15
11	Spezia	15	3	4	8	-7	-1.1	13
12	Empoli	14	4	1	9	-10	-4.5	13
13	Carrarese	15	2	6	7	-11	-10.2	12
14	Reggiana	16	3	3	10	-13	-4.6	12
15	Avellino	14	2	5	7	-12	-7.8	11
16	Bari	15	2	5	8	-16	-9.2	11
17	Mantova	15	2	4	9	-10	-3.3	10
18	Sampdoria	15	1	5	9	-13	-3.9	8
19	Pescara	14	1	5	8	-16	-2.6	8
20	Virtus Entella	15	1	4	10	-18	-7.6	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.