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Svenska Cupen
Referee: J Sars
Hammarby
U S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Djurgarden
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,3
4,0
Scored
3,5
3,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
100%
75%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
5,0
4,3
Scored
4,3
3,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+3,5
+2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 4. · Djurgarden 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 GAIS 5 5 0 0 +11 15
2 Mjallby 5 5 0 0 +11 15
3 Sirius 4 4 0 0 +15 12
4 Hammarby 4 4 0 0 +14 12
5 Malmo FF 5 4 0 1 +3 12
6 Goteborg 4 3 1 0 +10 10
7 AIK 5 3 0 2 +11 9
8 Djurgarden 4 3 0 1 +11 9
9 Hacken 4 3 0 1 +8 9
10 Brommapojkarna 4 3 0 1 +6 9
11 Elfsborg 4 3 0 1 +5 9
12 Halmstad 4 3 0 1 +4 9
13 Norrkoping 4 3 0 1 +3 9
14 Falkenbergs FF 4 3 0 1 +2 9
15 Kalmar 4 2 1 1 +4 7
16 Degerfors 4 2 1 1 +2 7
17 Oster 4 2 1 1 +0 7
18 Oddevold 4 2 0 2 +3 6
19 Ostersunds FK 4 1 3 0 +3 6
20 Varberg 4 2 0 2 +1 6
21 Vasteras SK 4 2 0 2 -1 6
22 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 -2 6
23 IF Karlstad 5 2 0 3 -2 6
24 IK brage 4 2 0 2 -3 6
25 IFK Skövde 5 2 0 3 -8 6
26 Orgryte 4 1 2 1 -2 5
27 Täby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Varnamo 4 1 1 2 +0 4
29 Orebro SK 4 1 1 2 -1 4
30 Sundsvall 4 1 1 2 -5 4
31 Helsingborg 4 1 1 2 -6 4
32 Karlberg 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Lund 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Onsala 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Enköping 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Assyriska FF 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Zenith 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Haninge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Sölvesborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Öckerö 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Lödde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Syrianska FC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Myresjö / Vetlanda 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Torstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Viggbyholms IK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Korsnäs 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Sandviken 4 1 0 3 -3 3
54 Räppe 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Sylvia 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Qviding FIF 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 Nässjö 2 1 0 1 -5 3
58 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 -5 3
59 Trelleborg 4 1 0 3 -9 3
60 Friska Viljor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Högaborg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Torslanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Vänersborgs FK 2 0 1 1 -1 1
64 Centern 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Hudiksvall 2 0 1 1 -7 1
66 Rosengård 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Utsikten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Gute 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Gimo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Ursvik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Hjulsbro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Farsta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Stenungsund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Gefle IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Kristianstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Karlslund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Berga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Trollhättan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Arameiska / Syrianska 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Västboås 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Dvärsätt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Jönköping Torpa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Eslov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 IFK Tidaholm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Franke 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Viken 1 0 0 1 -4 0
96 Stocksund 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Djurgarden
5′
🟨 M. Larsson
38′
🟨 J. Une-Larsson
Half-time 0–0
M. Karlsson 🟨
61′
69′
🔁 P. Aslund
↦ O. Fallenius
75′
🔁 P. Langhoff
↦ H. Finndell
75′
🔁 M. Marques
↦ M. Tenho
V. Lind 🔁
↦ O. Johansson
81′
H. Skoglund 🟨
87′
1–0 P. Abraham
90′
92′
🔁 L. Hien
↦ J. Une-Larsson
I. Fofana 🔁
↦ M. Madjed
93′
93′
🔁 K. Jawla
↦ B. Hegland
96′
🟨 M. Siltanen
N. Besara 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 M. Anderson
N. Vasic 🔁
↦ P. Abraham
98′
100′
🟨 K. Jawla
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hammarby

1 W. Hahn
2 H. Skoglund
4 V. Eriksson
3 F. Winther
16 N. Persson
8 M. Karlsson
28 F. Junior Adjei
26 M. Madjed
20 N. Besara
11 O. Johansson
7 P. Abraham
Bench (9)
27 F. Jakobsson
6 I. Fofana
9 V. Lind
17 O. Okeke
19 N. Vasic
21 S. Kone
22 W. Lindberg
29 M. Kabore
31 O. Steinke Branby

Djurgarden

35 J. Rinne
2 P. Johansson
5 M. Tenho
4 J. Une-Larsson
24 M. Larsson
14 H. Finndell
20 M. Siltanen
10 M. Anderson
16 B. Hegland
15 O. Fallenius
9 K. Lien
Bench (9)
3 L. Hien
6 P. Langhoff
8 P. Aslund
17 A. Saeed
21 M. Marques
25 K. Jawla
27 M. Vucenovic
37 C. Selfven
45 F. Manojlovic

Coach: Jani Honkavaara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.