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Premiership

Referee: S McLean

St Mirren

T T T U T

0–1

Full-time

Rangers

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Rangers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 35%

17%

52%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

34%

52%

Both score Ø 50%

41%

59%

Average goals

2,3

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,24 xG 2,36

47% Possession 53%

6 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 11

4 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Mirren 10. · Rangers 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	30	19	6	5	+27	+12.2	63
2	Celtic	30	19	4	7	+24	+18.4	61
3	Rangers	29	15	12	2	+26	+11.8	57
4	Motherwell	30	14	11	5	+26	+12.2	53
5	Hibernian	30	12	11	7	+13	+4.1	47
6	Falkirk	30	12	7	11	+0	+4.4	43
7	Dundee United	29	7	12	10	-10	-11.5	33
8	Dundee	29	8	7	14	-17	-5.7	31
9	Aberdeen	30	8	6	16	-12	-14.4	30
10	St Mirren	29	5	9	15	-22	-1.1	24
11	Kilmarnock	30	5	9	16	-27	-14.4	24
12	Livingston	30	1	12	17	-28	-16.0	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	15	11	4	0	+19	+7.5	37
2	Celtic	15	11	1	3	+21	+14.6	34
3	Motherwell	15	10	4	1	+21	+12.7	34
4	Rangers	15	9	5	1	+15	+10.9	32
5	Hibernian	15	7	6	2	+13	+7.6	27
6	Falkirk	15	6	5	4	+7	+7.0	23
7	Dundee	14	6	3	5	-1	-2.8	21
8	Dundee United	15	4	6	5	-4	-4.7	18
9	Aberdeen	15	4	5	6	+2	-6.9	17
10	St Mirren	14	4	5	5	-7	+3.0	17
11	Kilmarnock	15	4	3	8	-7	-2.0	15
12	Livingston	15	1	6	8	-9	-6.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	15	8	3	4	+3	+3.8	27
2	Hearts	15	8	2	5	+8	+4.6	26
3	Rangers	14	6	7	1	+11	+0.9	25
4	Hibernian	15	5	5	5	+0	-3.5	20
5	Falkirk	15	6	2	7	-7	-2.6	20
6	Motherwell	15	4	7	4	+5	-0.5	19
7	Dundee United	14	3	6	5	-6	-6.8	15
8	Aberdeen	15	4	1	10	-14	-7.5	13
9	Dundee	15	2	4	9	-16	-2.9	10
10	Kilmarnock	15	1	6	8	-20	-12.5	9
11	St Mirren	15	1	4	10	-15	-4.1	7
12	Livingston	15	0	6	9	-19	-9.4	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.