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Bundesliga

Referee: A Kijas

Sturm Graz

T T T T T

1–4

Full-time

Hartberg

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Hartberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

32%

35%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

58%

81%

Both score Ø 59%

52%

65%

Average goals

3,3

3,9

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,8

2,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 0

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 8. · Hartberg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	31	21	8	2	+73	71
2	LASK	31	20	4	7	+33	64
3	SK Rapid	31	17	7	7	+23	58
4	Wolfsberger AC	31	14	9	8	+24	51
5	Austria Vienna	32	12	11	9	+2	47
6	Hartberg	31	11	6	14	-25	39
7	Altach	32	10	8	14	-8	38
8	Sturm Graz	31	10	5	16	-11	35
9	St. Polten	32	8	10	14	-26	34
10	Mattersburg	32	8	6	18	-25	30
11	Admira	32	6	10	16	-28	28
12	Tirol	32	6	8	18	-32	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	16	13	2	1	+41	41
2	SK Rapid	16	7	4	5	+7	25
3	Austria Vienna	16	7	4	5	+1	25
4	LASK	15	7	3	5	+13	24
5	Wolfsberger AC	15	6	5	4	+12	23
6	Altach	16	5	5	6	+0	20
7	Hartberg	16	5	4	7	-10	19
8	St. Polten	16	3	6	7	-18	15
9	Sturm Graz	15	4	2	9	-7	14
10	Mattersburg	16	3	3	10	-14	12
11	Admira	16	2	4	10	-18	10
12	Tirol	16	2	4	10	-22	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	16	13	1	2	+20	40
2	SK Rapid	15	10	3	2	+16	33
3	Salzburg	15	8	6	1	+32	30
4	Wolfsberger AC	16	8	4	4	+12	28
5	Austria Vienna	16	5	7	4	+1	22
6	Sturm Graz	16	6	3	7	-4	21
7	Hartberg	15	6	2	7	-15	20
8	St. Polten	16	5	4	7	-8	19
9	Altach	16	5	3	8	-8	18
10	Admira	16	4	6	6	-10	18
11	Mattersburg	16	5	3	8	-11	18
12	Tirol	16	4	4	8	-10	16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.