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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Alaves
S T U S U
2–1
Full-time
Oviedo
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
42%
8%
Both score Ø 42%
58%
25%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 2. · Oviedo 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 13 7 5 1 +11 26
2 Alaves 12 6 5 1 +4 23
3 Burgos 12 5 6 1 +5 21
4 Granada 12 6 2 4 +5 20
5 Cartagena 12 6 2 4 +4 20
6 Huesca 13 5 5 3 +4 20
7 Albacete 12 5 5 2 +3 20
8 Levante 12 5 4 3 +4 19
9 Eibar 12 5 4 3 +3 19
10 Sp Gijon 12 5 4 3 +2 19
11 Andorra 13 5 3 5 +1 18
12 Villarreal B 12 4 4 4 -1 16
13 Zaragoza 13 4 4 5 -1 16
14 Tenerife 13 3 5 5 -2 14
15 Leganes 12 4 1 7 -3 13
16 Santander 12 3 4 5 -3 13
17 Oviedo 12 3 4 5 -3 13
18 Ponferradina 13 3 4 6 -7 13
19 Lugo 12 3 3 6 -3 12
20 Ibiza 12 3 2 7 -8 11
21 Malaga 12 2 3 7 -8 9
22 Mirandes 12 1 5 6 -7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Oviedo
1–0 A. Abqar
16′
24′
🟨 Luismi
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 Dani Calvo
↦ Rodri Tarín
63′
🔁 S. Obeng
↦ Viti Rozada
63′
🔁 M. Flores
↦ Hugo Rama
71′
Borja Bastón 1–1
M. Flores
Xeber Alkain 🔁
↦ Jason
72′
Miguel de la Fuente 🔁
↦ Jon Guridi
73′
Álex Balboa 🔁
↦ Toni Moya
73′
76′
🔁 Abel Bretones
↦ Sergi Enrich
Róber 🔁
↦ T. Hara
81′
Rubén Duarte 🟨
87′
94′
🟨 Ángel Montoro
96′
🟨 Abel Bretones
96′
🟨 David Costas
2–1 Salva Sevilla
99′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-2-3-1
1 Sivera G
14 N. Tenaglia D
22 A. Abqar D
19 N. Maraš D
3 Rubén Duarte D
6 Toni Moya M
8 Salva Sevilla M
10 Jason M
18 Jon Guridi M
11 Luis Rioja M
24 T. Hara F
Bench (12)
17 Xeber Alkain
9 Miguel de la Fuente
28 Álex Balboa
20 Róber
2 A. Arroyo
33 Adrián
38 Adri Pérez
32 Imanol Baz
29 A. Mahmoud
27 Javi López
21 A. Rebbach
31 Jesús Owono

Coach: Luis García

Oviedo

4-4-2
13 Tomeu Nadal G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
4 David Costas D
3 Rodri Tarín D
17 D. Aceves D
7 Viti Rozada M
19 Ángel Montoro M
5 Luismi Sánchez M
20 Hugo Rama M
23 Sergi Enrich F
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (9)
12 Dani Calvo
16 S. Obeng
11 M. Flores
28 Abel Bretones
31 Mangel Prendes
37 Mario Sesè
1 Q. Braat
33 Mario Fuente
15 Oier Luengo

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
2,95
B
3,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,72
U2,5
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.