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LaLiga2
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Zaragoza
S T U U T
2–1
Full-time
Villarreal B
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Villarreal B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
20%
70%
Both score Ø 45%
30%
60%
Average goals
1,3
3,1
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 18. · Villarreal B 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 10 5 5 0 +10 20
2 Alaves 10 5 4 1 +3 19
3 Burgos 10 4 6 0 +6 18
4 Eibar 10 5 3 2 +5 18
5 Granada 10 5 2 3 +6 17
6 Cartagena 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Albacete 10 4 4 2 +2 16
8 Huesca 10 4 3 3 +3 15
9 Sp Gijon 10 4 3 3 +0 15
10 Andorra 10 4 3 3 +0 15
11 Levante 10 3 4 3 +2 13
12 Villarreal B 10 3 4 3 -1 13
13 Ponferradina 10 3 3 4 -3 12
14 Tenerife 10 2 5 3 -1 11
15 Santander 10 3 2 5 -3 11
16 Ibiza 10 3 2 5 -5 11
17 Leganes 10 3 1 6 -3 10
18 Zaragoza 10 2 4 4 -3 10
19 Oviedo 10 2 4 4 -3 10
20 Lugo 10 2 3 5 -4 9
21 Mirandes 10 1 4 5 -6 7
22 Malaga 10 1 3 6 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Villarreal B
Lluís López 🟨
22′
1–0 Jaume Grau
V. Vada
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 H. Hassan
↦ Carlos Romero
46′
🔁 Dani Tasende
↦ Rodri Alonso
46′
🔁 Antonio Pacheco
↦ Diego Collado
Valentín Vada 🟨
53′
Gaizka Larrazabal 🔁
↦ V. Vada
62′
Ivan Azón 🔁
↦ M. Gueye
62′
Miguel Puche 🟨
63′
72′
🔁 Álex Forés
↦ T. Ojeda
74′
Dani Tasende 1–1
Migue Leal
Víctor Mollejo 🔁
↦ Miguel Puche
75′
81′
🟨 Mamadou Fall
83′
🟨 Filip Jörgensen
83′
🔁 Javi Ontiveros
↦ Fer Niño
Alberto Zapater 🔁
↦ Jaume Grau
86′
Marcos Luna 🔁
↦ Fran Gámez
86′
2–1 Alberto Zapater
Ivan Azón
93′
Alberto Zapater 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
1 C. Álvarez G
18 Fran Gámez D
6 Alejandro Francés D
24 Lluís López D
2 G. Fuentes D
23 Manu Molina M
5 Jaume Grau M
10 Sergio Bermejo M
11 V. Vada M
7 Miguel Puche M
19 M. Gueye F
Bench (11)
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
9 Ivan Azón
28 Víctor Mollejo
21 Alberto Zapater
27 Marcos Luna
3 Jair Amador
4 R. Petrović
22 Carlos Vigaray
13 Álvaro Ratón
16 Dani Lasure
14 Francho Serrano

Coach: Carcedo

Villarreal B

4-4-2
1 F. Jörgensen G
2 Migue Leal D
4 Dela D
23 M. Fall D
18 Carlos Romero D
7 Diego Collado M
6 Alberto del Moral M
26 Rodri Alonso M
32 T. Ojeda M
8 Carlo Adriano F
11 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
14 H. Hassan
3 Dani Tasende
20 Antonio Pacheco
17 Álex Forés
10 Javi Ontiveros
22 T. Geralnik
25 Gianni
13 Iker Álvarez
24 L. Torres
15 N. Iosifov
5 Sergio Carreira
27 Abraham del Moral

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,50
B
4,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.