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Copa del Rey
Referee: Jon González
2–3
Full-time
Oviedo
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Algar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Mollerussa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Cazalegas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Velarde 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
30 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
31 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
36 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
37 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
57 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
58 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gimnástica Torrelavega Oviedo
7′
Borja Bastón 0–1
Jimmy Suárez
H. Tirado 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
J. Castaneda 🟨
49′
50′
Borja Bastón 0–2
Ángel Montoro
1–2 Óscar Marotías
54′
Carlos Tobar 🔁
↦ Héctor Tirado
57′
Unai Hernández 🔁
↦ Brian Martín
57′
Alberto Gómez 🔁
↦ Josemi Castañeda
57′
66′
🔁 Marco Sangalli
↦ Jimmy Suárez
66′
🔁 Mangel Prendes
↦ Ángel Montoro
66′
🔁 Luismi
↦ Viti Rozada
M. Gandara 🟨
71′
72′
🔁 Hugo Rama
↦ S. Obeng
Saúl García 🔁
↦ Jorge Somavilla
76′
A. Montiel 🟨
82′
Chamo 🔁
↦ Javi Cobo
85′
O. Marotias 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 D. Aceves
↦ M. Flores
2–2 Chamo
Montiel
89′
Nacho Altadill 🔁
↦ Montiel
99′
104′
🟨 B. Baston
114′
Marco Sangalli 2–3
Abel Bretones
Chamorro 🟨
117′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Gimnástica Torrelavega

13 Amigo
11 Montiel
15 Miguel Gándara
3 Óscar Marotías
18 Javi Cobo
16 Josemi Castañeda
10 Álex Basurto
7 Dani Álvarez
22 Jorge Somavilla
12 Brian Martín
8 Héctor Tirado
Bench (10)
9 Carlos Tobar
17 Unai Hernández
6 Alberto Gómez
2 Saúl García
5 Chamo
14 Nacho Altadill
20 I. Rosas
19 Mario Sánchez
21 Alberto Delgado
1 Jorge Mediavilla

Coach: Sesi

Oviedo

1 Q. Braat
3 Rodri Tarín
24 Lucas Ahijado
15 Oier Luengo
19 Ángel Montoro
7 Viti Rozada
14 Jimmy Suárez
28 Abel Bretones
11 M. Flores
9 Borja Bastón
16 S. Obeng
Bench (10)
8 Marco Sangalli
31 Mangel Prendes
5 Luismi
20 Hugo Rama
17 D. Aceves
4 David Costas
13 Tomeu Nadal
37 Mario Sesè
12 Dani Calvo
33 Mario Fuente

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.