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Copa del Rey

Referee: Rubén Ávalos

Alfaro

0–1

Full-time

Cartagena

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Algar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Mollerussa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Guijuelo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Cazalegas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Velarde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
31	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
36	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
37	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Algar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Mollerussa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Guijuelo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Cazalegas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Velarde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
14	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
17	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alfaro Cartagena

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 Alfredo Ortuño

↦ A. Sadiku

55′

🔁 Borja Valle

↦ Lee Sang-Hyeok

55′

🔁 I. Jansson

↦ Jaime Romero

Fernando Albín 🔁

↦ Urko Ardanaz

60′

Unai Albisu 🔁

↦ Íñigo Jiménez

60′

Diego Lacruz 🔁

↦ Javier Albín

60′

U. Albisu 🟨

65′

68′

🟨 Farru

Arturo Fernández 🔁

↦ Kevin Soeiro

68′

73′

🔁 Jairo Izquierdo

↦ Neskes

77′

🟨 L. Sangalli

83′

⚽ Alfredo Ortuño 0–1

Borja Valle

Nacho Navajas 🔁

↦ Álex Aguado

84′

🔁 D. Barro

↦ I. Jansson

93′

🟨 S. Tejera

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Alfaro

1 Andrés Pinillos

14 Ekhi Senar

17 A. Parada

3 Aitor Pérez

7 Íker Balda

15 Fran Sabaté

20 Álex Aguado

8 Urko Ardanaz

9 Kevin Soeiro

21 Íñigo Jiménez

12 Javier Albín

Bench (10)

18 Fernando Albín

6 Unai Albisu

10 Diego Lacruz

11 Arturo Fernández

16 Nacho Navajas

23 Sasha Esparza

13 Nacho Zabal

4 Héctor Izpura

5 Noel Lizarbe

2 Julen Ezquerro

Coach: Israel Villarreal

Cartagena

1 Marc Martínez

Pablo Vázquez

22 Delmás

26 José Mari

32 Antonio Sánchez

3 Jaime Romero

23 Tejera

15 Sangalli

12 Lee Sang-Hyeok

28 Neskes

19 A. Sadiku

Bench (11)

9 Alfredo Ortuño

10 Borja Valle

24 I. Jansson

20 Jairo Izquierdo

36 D. Barro

6 T. Datković

14 F. Feuillassier

8 P. De Blasis

13 Aarón Escandell

33 Carlos Sánchez

18 D. Musto

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,0 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

25,6 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Alfaro

Cartagena

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee