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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Trujillo
Zaragoza
T U S T T
0–0
Full-time
Burgos
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 34%
29%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
36%
21%
Both score Ø 33%
36%
29%
Average goals
1,9
1,4
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 18. · Burgos 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 28 14 11 3 +18 53
2 Alaves 29 15 8 6 +14 53
3 Eibar 29 15 8 6 +9 53
4 Levante 28 13 12 3 +14 51
5 Granada 28 14 6 8 +16 48
6 Albacete 28 12 10 6 +6 46
7 Burgos 28 11 11 6 +8 44
8 Cartagena 29 11 8 10 +3 41
9 Leganes 29 10 10 9 +2 40
10 Huesca 29 8 13 8 -1 37
11 Tenerife 29 9 10 10 -2 37
12 Villarreal B 29 10 7 12 -6 37
13 Sp Gijon 29 8 12 9 -2 36
14 Andorra 29 10 5 14 +1 35
15 Mirandes 29 8 10 11 -4 34
16 Oviedo 28 9 7 12 -5 34
17 Santander 29 8 9 12 -4 33
18 Zaragoza 28 8 9 11 -6 33
19 Ponferradina 28 6 11 11 -9 29
20 Malaga 28 5 10 13 -9 25
21 Lugo 28 5 7 16 -19 22
22 Ibiza 29 4 8 17 -24 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Burgos
Giuliano Simeone 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟨 Miguel Atienza
V. Vada 🔁
↦ Sergio Bermejo
64′
64′
🔁 Mourad
↦ Gaspar Campos
Pau Sans 🔁
↦ Miguel Puche
65′
72′
🔁 Fran García
↦ José Matos
72′
🔁 Pablo Valcarce
↦ Álex Bermejo
Fran Gámez 🔁
↦ Marcos Luna
73′
Fran Gámez 🟨
83′
Jaume Grau 🔁
↦ Alberto Zapater
86′
86′
🔁 Míchel Zabaco
↦ Miki Muñoz
87′
🔁 Juan Hernández
↦ Curro Sánchez
Valentín Vada 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
1 C. Álvarez G
27 Marcos Luna D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
17 Carlos Nieto D
10 Sergio Bermejo M
21 Alberto Zapater M
14 Francho Serrano M
4 Bebé M
20 G. Simeone F
7 Miguel Puche F
Bench (12)
11 V. Vada
38 Pau Sans
18 Fran Gámez
5 Jaume Grau
8 Eugeni Valderrama
23 Manu Molina
16 T. Alarcón
19 M. Gueye
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
6 Alejandro Francés
2 G. Fuentes
13 Álvaro Ratón

Coach: Fran Escribá

Burgos

4-3-3
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
21 David Goldar D
23 José Matos D
6 Raúl Navarro M
5 Miguel Atienza M
22 Miki Muñoz M
16 Curro Sánchez F
10 Álex Bermejo F
11 Gaspar Campos F
Bench (8)
9 Mourad
3 Fran García
8 Pablo Valcarce
4 Míchel Zabaco
15 Juan Hernández
1 Dani Barrio
2 Borja González
7 Juan Artola

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,93
U ✓
2,99
B
4,69
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
3,00
U2,5 ✓
1,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Trujillo · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.