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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Sp Gijon
T S T S T
2–3
Full-time
Santander
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 43%
41%
44%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
38%
53%
Both score Ø 49%
41%
56%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 18
6 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 8. · Santander 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 33 17 9 7 +26 60
2 Eibar 33 16 7 10 +16 55
3 Espanol 33 14 12 7 +14 54
4 Elche 32 15 8 9 +7 53
5 Valladolid 33 15 7 11 +7 52
6 Santander 32 14 8 10 +6 50
7 Burgos 33 14 8 11 -1 50
8 Sp Gijon 32 13 10 9 +7 49
9 Oviedo 32 12 12 8 +12 48
10 Levante 33 11 15 7 +2 48
11 Ferrol 32 12 12 8 +2 48
12 Tenerife 32 11 9 12 -2 42
13 Eldense 33 10 12 11 -6 42
14 Huesca 32 9 13 10 +6 40
15 Cartagena 33 10 9 14 -11 39
16 Zaragoza 32 9 11 12 -1 38
17 Mirandes 33 9 10 14 -8 37
18 Alcorcon 32 8 9 15 -19 33
19 Albacete 32 7 11 14 -10 32
20 Andorra 33 8 8 17 -15 32
21 Amorebieta 32 7 9 16 -13 30
22 Villarreal B 32 7 9 16 -19 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Santander
13′
🟨 Manu Hernando
1–0 U. Đurđević
24′
26′
🟨 Saúl García
29′
🟨 Germán Sánchez
Ignacio Martín 🟨
32′
40′
🟨 Íñigo Sáinz-Maza
Alexandru Paşcanu 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Iván Morante
↦ Íñigo Sainz-Maza
46′
🔁 Mario García
↦ Saúl García
Christian Rivera 🔁
↦ Nacho Martín
59′
63′
Juan Carlos Arana 1–1
Iván Morante
Cristian Rivera 🟨
64′
Carlos Izquierdoz 🟨
67′
Dani Queipo 🔁
↦ H. Hassan
69′
Mario González 🔁
↦ U. Đurđević
69′
Dani Queipo 🟨
71′
2–1 Gaspar Campos
76′
Mario González 🟨
79′
Fran Villalba 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
79′
J. Varane 🔁
↦ Nacho Méndez
79′
87′
🔁 Ekain Zenitagoia
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
87′
🔁 R. Baturina
↦ Jordi Mboula
88′
Juan Carlos Arana 2–2
Iván Morante
89′
🟨 Juan Carlos Arana
90′
🔁 C. Grenier
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
Carlos Izquierdoz 🟥
96′
Carlos Izquierdoz ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
96′
99′
ℹ️ Clément Grenier
VAR: Penalty confirmed
101′
1 Peque Fernández 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
1 Rubén Yáñez G
25 A. Pașcanu D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
22 Rober Pier D
3 Cote D
21 H. Hassan M
10 Nacho Méndez M
6 Nacho Martín M
7 Gaspar Campos M
19 J. Otero F
23 U. Đurđević F
Bench (12)
17 Christian Rivera
9 Dani Queipo
20 Mario González
8 Fran Villalba
12 J. Varane
14 A. Bamba
5 Pablo García
15 Roque Mesa
16 Diego Sánchez
30 Alejandro Lozano
13 C. Sánchez
4 Pablo Insua

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
7 Marco Sangalli D
18 Manu Hernando D
5 Germán Sánchez D
3 Saúl García D
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza M
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
8 Jordi Mboula M
17 Peque Fernández M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
16 Iván Morante
40 Mario García
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
12 R. Baturina
19 C. Grenier
38 Neco Celorio
15 Rubén Alves
29 Jeremy Arévalo
23 Dani Fernández
4 Pol Moreno
22 Juan Gutiérrez
31 Germán Fernández

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
U
3,25
B ✓
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.