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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Pérez
Burgos
U S U U T
0–1
Full-time
Elche
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 45%
38%
51%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
32%
38%
Both score Ø 40%
38%
41%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 11. · Elche 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 37 19 11 7 +21 68
2 Levante 37 18 12 7 +22 66
3 Santander 37 19 9 9 +16 66
4 Mirandes 38 19 8 11 +15 65
5 Oviedo 38 18 11 9 +11 65
6 Granada 38 16 11 11 +12 59
7 Almeria 37 16 11 10 +9 59
8 Huesca 38 16 10 12 +12 58
9 Cordoba 38 14 12 12 +1 54
10 Albacete 37 13 12 12 +2 51
11 Burgos 37 14 9 14 -5 51
12 La Coruna 37 12 14 11 +5 50
13 Cadiz 38 12 13 13 -1 49
14 Malaga 38 11 16 11 -2 49
15 Eibar 38 12 13 13 -2 49
16 Sp Gijon 37 11 14 12 +1 47
17 Castellon 37 12 10 15 +0 46
18 Zaragoza 37 10 12 15 -6 42
19 Eldense 37 10 10 17 -14 40
20 Tenerife 37 8 10 19 -16 34
21 Ferrol 37 5 11 21 -38 26
22 Cartagena 37 4 5 28 -43 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Elche
Fernando Niño 🟨
14′
Curro 🟨
20′
Iñigo Cordoba 🟨
37′
39′
🟨 Aleix Febas
Half-time 0–0
Álex Sancris 🟨
53′
David González 🔁
↦ Álex Sancris
57′
60′
🟨 Jose Salinas
61′
🔁 S. Kaba
↦ Óscar Plano
61′
🔁 Pejiño
↦ E. Rashani
71′
🟨 Germán Valera
74′
🔁 Marc Aguado
↦ Aleix Febas
74′
🔁 A. Álvarez
↦ N. Castro
Borja Sánchez 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
77′
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Curro Sánchez
77′
82′
🔁 Josan
↦ Germán Valera
86′
N. Fernández 0–1
Josan
F. Mimbacas 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
89′
Anderson Arroyo 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
8 Grego Sierra D
3 F. Miguel D
23 Iván Morante M
5 Miguel Atienza M
11 Álex Sancris M
16 Curro Sánchez M
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
14 David González
10 Borja Sánchez
19 Edu Espiau
17 F. Mimbacas
2 G. Konan
20 Pipa
46 Rubén Quintanilla
28 Mario Cantero
6 Raúl Navarro
24 N. Miličić
1 Tomeu Nadal
15 G. Barès

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Elche

4-1-4-1
13 M. Dituro G
5 John Donald D
22 D. Affengruber D
6 Pedro Bigas D
12 José Salinas D
14 Aleix Febas M
20 Germán Valera M
10 N. Fernández M
21 N. Castro M
11 E. Rashani M
7 Óscar Plano F
Bench (12)
18 S. Kaba
23 Pejiño
8 Marc Aguado
9 A. Álvarez
17 Josan
2 Mario Gaspar
16 Álex Martín
19 M. El Ghezouani
3 Jairo Izquierdo
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
31 Gerard Hernández
1 Miguel San Román

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,21
U
2,89
B ✓
2,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,86
U2,5 ✓
1,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Pérez · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.