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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel González
Burgos
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Eibar
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
27%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
27%
27%
Both score Ø 30%
33%
27%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 19. · Eibar 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 15 11 3 1 +13 36
2 Granada 16 7 5 4 +5 26
3 Oviedo 15 7 5 3 +5 26
4 Sp Gijon 15 7 4 4 +7 25
5 Mirandes 15 7 4 4 +4 25
6 Almeria 15 7 4 4 +2 25
7 Zaragoza 15 7 3 5 +7 24
8 Levante 14 6 5 3 +4 23
9 Elche 15 6 4 5 +3 22
10 Malaga 14 4 9 1 +1 21
11 Eibar 15 6 3 6 -1 21
12 Castellon 14 6 2 6 +2 20
13 Huesca 15 5 4 6 +3 19
14 Eldense 15 5 3 7 -3 18
15 Cadiz 16 4 6 6 -4 18
16 Albacete 15 4 5 6 -4 17
17 La Coruna 15 4 4 7 +0 16
18 Cordoba 14 4 4 6 -4 16
19 Burgos 15 4 3 8 -8 15
20 Ferrol 15 2 7 6 -8 13
21 Tenerife 14 2 4 8 -9 10
22 Cartagena 16 3 1 12 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Eibar
36′
🟨 Sergio Álvarez
Half-time 0–0
David López 🔁
↦ L. López
46′
Iván Morante 🟨
53′
59′
🟨 Jorge Pascual
60′
🟨 Jon Bautista
Daniel Ojeda 🟨
61′
Borja Sánchez 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
64′
Fer Niño 🔁
↦ Edu Espiau
64′
64′
🔁 Xeber Alkain
↦ Jon Bautista
1–0 Curro Sánchez
Álex Sancris
67′
Marcelo Expósito 🔁
↦ Iván Morante
73′
75′
🔁 Ander Madariaga
↦ Sergio Álvarez
75′
🔁 Cristian Gutiérrez
↦ Hodei Arrillaga
78′
🟨 Xeber Alkain
Mario Cantero 🔁
↦ Curro Sánchez
82′
83′
🔁 Slavy
↦ Jon Guruzeta
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
20 Pipa D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
2 L. López D
3 F. Miguel D
23 Iván Morante M
5 Miguel Atienza M
11 Álex Sancris M
16 Curro Sánchez M
7 Dani Ojeda M
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (12)
27 David López
10 Borja Sánchez
9 Fer Niño
33 Marcelo Expósito
28 Mario Cantero
17 Javi López-Pinto
1 L. Badiashile
39 G. Nsukula
4 A. Arroyo
30 O. El Goumiri
22 T. Rodríguez
32 Hugo Pascual

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia G
2 Sergio Cubero D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
5 Chema Rodríguez D
14 Hodei Arrillaga D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Peru Nolaskoain M
21 Jon Guruzeta M
11 Jorge Pascual M
20 Antonio Puertas M
9 Jon Bautista F
Bench (10)
7 Xeber Alkain
29 Ander Madariaga
3 Cristian Gutiérrez
27 Slavy
15 K. Hashimoto
33 Raúl Giménez
4 Álvaro Carrillo
19 Toni Villa
26 Ibon Ispizua
35 Oscar Carrasco

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,37
U
2,95
B
3,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel González · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.