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LaLiga2
Referee: Luis Bestard Servera
Eibar
S U T T S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Cultural Leonesa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 44%
56%
31%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,35 xG 1,18
58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 20. · Cultural Leonesa 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 17 11 2 4 +15 +0.2 35
2 La Coruna 16 9 5 2 +17 +2.8 32
3 Almeria 17 9 5 3 +11 +0.4 32
4 Las Palmas 16 8 5 3 +8 +0.4 29
5 Burgos 16 7 4 5 +6 +1.5 25
6 Castellon 16 7 4 5 +4 +3.2 25
7 Valladolid 17 6 6 5 +5 +3.9 24
8 Sp Gijon 17 7 3 7 -2 +0.0 24
9 Cadiz 17 6 6 5 -2 -0.8 24
10 Ceuta 16 7 3 6 -3 -3.2 24
11 Cordoba 17 5 7 5 -1 +0.6 22
12 Cultural Leonesa 16 6 2 8 -3 -4.7 20
13 Malaga 16 5 4 7 -1 -1.3 19
14 Granada 16 4 7 5 -2 +0.9 19
15 Leganes 17 4 7 6 -2 +1.4 19
16 Albacete 16 5 4 7 -5 -0.7 19
17 Huesca 17 5 4 8 -8 +1.3 19
18 Sociedad B 17 5 3 9 -3 +0.7 18
19 Andorra 17 4 6 7 -7 -1.3 18
20 Eibar 16 4 5 7 -5 -1.1 17
21 Mirandes 16 4 3 9 -9 -0.9 15
22 Zaragoza 16 4 3 9 -13 -3.5 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Cultural Leonesa
1–0 A. Arbilla
J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
24′
40′
ℹ️ Manu Justo
VAR: Penalty confirmed
40′
M. Justo 1–1
44′
🟨 Thiago Ojeda
Half-time 1–2
50′
T. Ojeda 1–2
R. Hinojo
Malcom Ares 🟨
52′
Peru Nolaskoain 🟨
56′
A. Madariaga 🔁
↦ A. Ares
56′
A. Garrido 🔁
↦ J. Martinez
56′
62′
🟨 Roger Hinojo
66′
🟨 Matia Barzić
Javier Marton 🔁
↦ J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
67′
67′
🔁 J. Mboula
↦ R. Tresaco
67′
🔁 Bicho
↦ L. Ribeiro
L. Buta 🔁
↦ S. Alvarez
83′
T. Villa 🔁
↦ M. Moreno
84′
87′
🔁 Y. Gonzalez
↦ L. Chacon
87′
🔁 Pibe
↦ M. Diallo Selu
91′
🔁 D. Collado
↦ M. Justo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
17 J. Corpas D
8 P. Nolaskoain D
21 M. Moreno D
23 A. Arbilla D
6 S. Alvarez M
5 J. Martinez M
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia M
10 J. Guruzeta M
18 A. Ares M
9 J. Bautista F
Bench (11)
1 L. Lopez
2 S. Cubero
3 H. Arrillaga
4 A. Arambarri
14 L. Olaetxea
16 A. Madariaga
19 T. Villa
20 Javier Marton
22 A. Rodriguez
24 L. Buta
30 A. Garrido

Coach: Beñat San José Gil

Cultural Leonesa

4-2-3-1
13 E. Badia G
24 V. Garcia D
36 M. Barzic D
16 T. Ribeiro D
21 R. Hinojo D
23 M. Diallo Selu M
28 T. Ojeda M
15 L. Ribeiro M
10 L. Chacon M
20 R. Tresaco M
9 M. Justo F
Bench (12)
1 M. Banuz
26 A. Rafus
2 J. Mboula
5 Q. Fornos
6 S. Maestre
7 D. Collado
8 Y. Gonzalez
11 P. Cortes
14 Bicho
18 D. Paraschiv
22 Pibe
33 J. Larios

Coach: Raúl Sáenz del Rincón

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U
3,47
B ✓
4,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.