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Bundesliga

Referee: M Greinecker

Wolfsberger AC

S U T T T

2–1

Full-time

Austria Vienna

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Austria Vienna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 44%

40%

47%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

60%

67%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,74 xG 1,15

46% Possession 54%

6 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

4 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 8. · Austria Vienna 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	16	8	5	3	+14	+4.3	29
2	LASK	16	8	2	6	+2	-1.1	26
3	Sturm Graz	15	8	1	6	+5	+4.6	25
4	SK Rapid	16	7	3	6	+0	-1.4	24
5	Hartberg	16	6	5	5	+3	-2.5	23
6	Austria Vienna	15	7	2	6	-2	-1.2	23
7	Ried	16	7	2	7	-3	-1.7	23
8	Wolfsberger AC	15	6	3	6	+4	-2.6	21
9	Tirol	15	5	6	4	+2	+6.8	21
10	Altach	15	4	6	5	-1	-0.4	18
11	Grazer AK	15	3	6	6	-10	-1.4	15
12	BW Linz	16	3	1	12	-14	-3.5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	8	5	1	2	+4	-0.7	16
2	Salzburg	8	4	2	2	+9	+2.5	14
3	Altach	8	3	4	1	+2	+2.1	13
4	Tirol	7	3	2	2	+4	+3.7	11
5	Ried	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.9	11
6	Wolfsberger AC	8	3	1	4	+1	-0.7	10
7	Grazer AK	8	2	4	2	-1	+2.3	10
8	SK Rapid	8	3	1	4	-1	-0.5	10
9	Austria Vienna	8	3	1	4	-5	-0.4	10
10	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	+0	-1.2	8
11	BW Linz	8	2	0	6	-4	-1.2	6
12	Sturm Graz	7	1	1	5	-7	+1.0	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	8	7	0	1	+12	+3.6	21
2	Salzburg	8	4	3	1	+5	+1.8	15
3	Hartberg	9	4	3	2	+3	-1.3	15
4	SK Rapid	8	4	2	2	+1	-0.8	14
5	Austria Vienna	7	4	1	2	+3	-0.8	13
6	Ried	8	4	0	4	-1	-0.8	12
7	Wolfsberger AC	7	3	2	2	+3	-1.9	11
8	Tirol	8	2	4	2	-2	+3.1	10
9	LASK	8	3	1	4	-2	-0.4	10
10	Altach	7	1	2	4	-3	-2.5	5
11	Grazer AK	7	1	2	4	-9	-3.7	5
12	BW Linz	8	1	1	6	-10	-2.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.