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Super League
Referee: A Evangelou
Larisa
T T T T T
2–2
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
8%
42%
Points per game
0,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
46%
42%
Both score Ø 65%
62%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

31% Possession 69%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Larisa 14. · Panathinaikos 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 14 12 1 1 +24 37
2 AEK 13 10 1 2 +7 31
3 PAOK 12 9 2 1 +17 29
4 Levadeiakos 14 6 5 3 +14 23
5 Volos NFC 14 7 1 6 -2 22
6 Panathinaikos 12 5 4 3 +5 19
7 Kifisia 14 4 4 6 -2 16
8 Aris Thessalonikis 12 4 4 4 -2 16
9 Aris 12 4 4 4 -2 16
10 Panetolikos 13 4 3 6 -3 15
11 Asteras Tripolis 14 2 7 5 -3 13
12 OFI Crete 13 4 0 9 -11 12
13 Atromitos 13 2 3 8 -6 9
14 Larisa 13 1 4 8 -12 7
15 Panserraikos 13 1 3 9 -24 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Larisa Panathinaikos
Facundo Pérez 🟨
-5′
35′
🟨 Manolis Siopis
1–0 F. Perez
37′
Soufiane Chakla 🟨
40′
43′
D. Calabria 1–1
F. Mladenovic
Half-time 1–1
Theocharis Iliadis 🟨
56′
58′
🔁 M. Pantovic
↦ K. Swiderski
A. Papageorgiou 🔁
↦ K. Apostolakis
63′
B. Kovacevic 🔁
↦ T. Iliadis
63′
72′
ℹ️ Anass Zaroury
VAR: Penalty confirmed
74′
A. Bakasetas 1–2
J. Atanasov 🔁
↦ F. Perez
75′
V. Sourlis 🔁
↦ L. Andrada
75′
77′
🟨 Tetê
G. Pasas 🔁
↦ Z. Chatzistravos
80′
80′
🔁 F. Djuricic
↦ A. Bakasetas
80′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ A. Zaroury
82′
🟨 Filip Mladenović
Jani Atanasov 🟨
85′
2–2 G. Pasas
90′
Giannis Pasas ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
97′
97′
🟨 Filip Mladenović
97′
🟥 Filip Mladenović
100′
🔁 T. Jedvaj
↦ Tete
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Larisa

3-5-2
94 A. Anagnostopoulos G
4 T. Iliadis D
44 S. Chakla D
14 E. Ferigra D
2 K. Apostolakis M
26 P. Staikos M
10 L. Andrada M
8 F. Perez M
64 P. Deligiannidis M
18 Z. Chatzistravos F
23 L. Garate F
Bench (12)
1 N. Melissas
12 A. Kossonou
19 G. Pasas
22 A. Papageorgiou
25 A. Sagal
29 L. Tupta
31 J. Atanasov
55 E. Vignato
63 B. Kovacevic
72 E. Pavlis
77 C. Giousis
90 V. Sourlis

Coach: Savvas Pantelidis

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
70 K. Kotsaris
2 D. Calabria D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
5 A. Touba D
25 F. Mladenovic D
16 A. Gnezda Cerin M
6 M. Siopis M
10 Tete M
11 A. Bakasetas M
9 A. Zaroury M
19 K. Swiderski F
Bench (12)
69 B. Dragowski
40 A. Lafont
15 S. I. Ingason
17 D. Mancini
20 V. Taborda
21 T. Jedvaj
27 G. Kotsiras
31 F. Djuricic
33 C. Dessers
39 I. G. Bokos
44 G. Nikas
72 M. Pantovic

Coach: Rafael Benitez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,60
U ✓
4,16
B
1,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Evangelou · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.