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LaLiga2
Referee: J A Gonzalez Esteban
Las Palmas
S S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Valladolid
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,7
1,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 38%
46%
30%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
41%
43%
Both score Ø 46%
51%
41%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 5. · Valladolid 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 38 22 6 10 +22 -1.1 72
2 La Coruna 38 19 11 8 +18 +1.2 68
3 Almeria 37 20 7 10 +18 +1.6 67
4 Castellon 38 18 10 10 +17 +5.9 64
5 Las Palmas 37 17 12 8 +18 +2.4 63
6 Malaga 38 18 9 11 +17 +6.3 63
7 Burgos 38 17 11 10 +11 +5.3 62
8 Eibar 38 17 10 11 +11 +6.4 61
9 Cordoba 38 16 9 13 -2 +4.1 57
10 Andorra 38 15 10 13 +8 +2.0 55
11 Ceuta 38 15 9 14 -12 -14.4 54
12 Sp Gijon 38 15 7 16 +2 +1.9 52
13 Albacete 38 13 11 14 -2 +2.0 50
14 Granada 38 12 12 14 -1 +0.7 48
15 Valladolid 37 11 10 16 -8 +2.2 43
16 Leganes 38 10 12 16 -5 +3.1 42
17 Sociedad B 38 11 9 18 -8 -9.3 42
18 Cadiz 38 10 9 19 -19 -6.7 39
19 Mirandes 37 9 9 19 -20 -4.5 36
20 Huesca 38 9 9 20 -20 -0.4 36
21 Zaragoza 38 8 11 19 -18 +2.9 35
22 Cultural Leonesa 38 8 9 21 -27 -11.5 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Valladolid
1–0 Jese
M. Fuster
2′
32′
🟨 Julien Ponceau
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Clément Michelin
2–0 E. Pedrola
M. Fuster
56′
64′
🔁 A. Ndiaye
↦ V. A. Meseguer Cavas
65′
🔁 J. Latasa
↦ L. Sanseviero
T. Miyashiro 🔁
↦ A. Garcia
66′
70′
🔁 R. Martinez
↦ M. Jaouab
70′
🔁 H. Modesto
↦ C. Clerc
Marvin 🔁
↦ E. Pedrola
74′
I. Bravo 🔁
↦ Jese
74′
74′
🔁 I. Alani
↦ J. Ponceau
80′
S. Biuk 2–1
82′
ℹ️ Stipe Biuk
VAR: Goal confirmed
I. Gil 🔁
↦ M. Fuster
85′
J. Herzog 🔁
↦ E. Clemente
85′
Sergio Barcia 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-1-3-2
1 D. Horkas G
17 Viti D
6 Sergio Barcia D
3 M. Marmol D
5 E. Clemente D
16 L. Amatucci M
22 A. Garcia M
20 K. Rodriguez M
39 E. Pedrola M
10 Jese F
14 M. Fuster F
Bench (12)
35 A. Suarez
13 J. Caro
21 J. Viera
2 Marvin
8 I. Gil
49 I. Bravo
26 I. Gonzalez
7 N. Benedetti
4 Alex Suarez
18 T. Miyashiro
24 Pejino
15 J. Herzog

Coach: Luis Garcia

Valladolid

4-2-3-1
1 A. Aceves G
2 C. Michelin D
23 M. Jaouab D
15 P. Tomeo D
18 C. Clerc D
21 J. Ponceau M
6 M. Lachuer M
19 L. Sanseviero M
8 V. A. Meseguer Cavas M
17 S. Biuk M
20 Chuki F
Bench (12)
13 Guilherme Fernandes
24 S. Juric
5 R. Martinez
12 I. Alani
11 A. Ndiaye
25 V. Erlien
9 J. Latasa
22 Peter Federico
4 D. Torres
16 M. Maroto
38 A. Carvajal
30 H. Modesto

Coach: Fran Escriba

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,84
U
3,29
B
4,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J A Gonzalez Esteban · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.