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Superligaen
Referee: M Krogh
Fredericia
T U U U T
3–3
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredericia FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,3
3,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 37%
28%
45%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
72%
69%
Both score Ø 66%
62%
69%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

3,01 xG 2,39
43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fredericia 11. · FC Copenhagen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 29 16 10 3 +37 +8.2 58
2 Aarhus 29 16 10 3 +23 +20.8 58
3 Nordsjaelland 30 14 4 12 +2 -2.3 46
4 FC Copenhagen 29 13 5 11 +14 +22.9 44
5 Viborg 29 13 4 12 +3 -2.6 43
6 Brondby 30 12 6 12 +10 +10.7 42
7 Sonderjyske 29 11 8 10 -2 -5.1 41
8 Odense 30 11 7 12 -8 +5.7 40
9 Silkeborg 30 10 6 14 -19 -21.6 36
10 Randers FC 30 9 7 14 -9 +7.5 34
11 Fredericia 29 8 6 15 -24 -24.5 30
12 Vejle 30 3 9 18 -27 -19.7 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredericia FC Copenhagen
-5′
🟨 Elias Achouri
1–0 F. Etim
A. Nygaard
1′
11′
A. Cornelius 1–1
M. Elyounoussi
2–1 J. Lindekilde
D. F. Kristjansson
24′
Jonatan Lindekilde ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
25′
32′
M. Madsen 2–2
M. Lopez
Half-time 2–2
46′
🟨 William Clem
J. Kudsk 🔁
↦ S. Crone
46′
46′
🔁 T. Delaney
↦ W. Clem
65′
🔁 V. Dadason
↦ A. Cornelius
Frederik Rieper 🟨
69′
G. Marcussen 🔁
↦ S. Johannesen
74′
O. Buch 🔁
↦ E. Simonsen
74′
74′
🔁 Robert
↦ E. Achouri
A. Dahl 🔁
↦ A. Nygaard
82′
3–2 F. Etim
J. Jessen
83′
87′
J. Larsson 3–3
P. Egelund 🔁
↦ J. Lindekilde
88′
88′
🔁 V. Claesson
↦ M. Lopez
88′
🔁 G. Vianney
↦ M. Madsen
92′
🟨 Thomas Delaney
95′
🟨 Geovanni Vianney
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Fredericia

4-2-3-1
90 V. Birkso G
12 S. Crone D
3 A. Nygaard D
5 F. Rieper D
8 J. Jessen D
17 D. F. Kristjansson M
18 A. Pyndt M
16 S. Johannesen M
21 J. Lindekilde M
10 E. Simonsen M
25 F. Etim F
Bench (9)
22 C. Petersen
7 G. Marcussen
24 K. Pedersen
14 A. Dahl
4 J. Kudsk
97 O. Buch
9 P. Egelund
29 E. Hansborg
20 D. Haarbo

Coach: Michael Hansen

FC Copenhagen

4-4-1-1
1 D. Kotarski G
20 J. Suzuki D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
25 Zanka D
15 M. Lopez D
11 J. Larsson M
21 M. Madsen M
36 W. Clem M
30 E. Achouri M
10 M. Elyounoussi F
14 A. Cornelius F
Bench (9)
31 R. A. Runarsson
27 T. Delaney
7 V. Claesson
17 Buta
24 B. Meling
9 Y. Moukoko
16 Robert
39 V. Dadason
44 G. Vianney

Coach: Bo Svensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.