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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Midtjylland

S U T T S

2–1

Full-time

Aarhus

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 47%

61%

32%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

64%

43%

Both score Ø 59%

57%

61%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 3. · Aarhus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	29	18	4	7	+28	+16.8	58
2	Brondby	29	16	8	5	+23	+6.7	56
3	Midtjylland	28	17	4	7	+17	+13.2	55
4	Nordsjaelland	28	15	8	5	+24	+4.5	53
5	Aarhus	28	9	11	8	-4	+3.6	38
6	Viborg	29	10	7	12	-8	-3.7	37
7	Randers FC	29	8	11	10	-8	+0.6	35
8	Silkeborg	28	9	5	14	-7	+6.9	32
9	Lyngby	29	8	8	13	-15	-5.8	32
10	Vejle	29	7	9	13	-6	-18.7	30
11	Odense	29	6	8	15	-13	-7.4	26
12	Hvidovre IF	29	4	7	18	-31	-16.6	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	14	9	3	2	+15	+9.1	30
2	Nordsjaelland	14	8	5	1	+17	+5.7	29
3	FC Copenhagen	14	9	1	4	+15	+12.8	28
4	Brondby	14	8	3	3	+12	+7.1	27
5	Viborg	15	7	4	4	+5	-1.2	25
6	Lyngby	15	5	7	3	+4	+1.2	22
7	Silkeborg	15	6	3	6	+2	+7.9	21
8	Aarhus	14	5	4	5	-3	+3.0	19
9	Randers FC	14	4	6	4	-2	+3.5	18
10	Vejle	14	4	4	6	+0	-5.6	16
11	Hvidovre IF	14	1	2	11	-21	-4.8	5
12	Odense	15	0	3	12	-19	-3.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	15	9	3	3	+13	+4.0	30
2	Brondby	15	8	5	2	+11	-0.4	29
3	Midtjylland	14	8	1	5	+2	+4.0	25
4	Nordsjaelland	14	7	3	4	+7	-1.2	24
5	Odense	14	6	5	3	+6	-4.0	23
6	Aarhus	14	4	7	3	-1	+0.7	19
7	Randers FC	15	4	5	6	-6	-2.9	17
8	Vejle	15	3	5	7	-6	-13.1	14
9	Hvidovre IF	15	3	5	7	-10	-11.7	14
10	Viborg	14	3	3	8	-13	-2.6	12
11	Silkeborg	13	3	2	8	-9	-1.0	11
12	Lyngby	14	3	1	10	-19	-6.9	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.