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Superligaen

Referee: J Hansen

Midtjylland

T U S T S

3–1

Full-time

Aarhus

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 47%

57%

36%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

61%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

61%

68%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,71 xG 0,68

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Aarhus 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	29	16	8	5	+20	+11.6	56
2	Midtjylland	28	16	4	8	+18	+4.9	52
3	Brondby	29	12	11	6	+12	+8.3	47
4	Randers FC	29	12	9	8	+10	+8.1	45
5	Silkeborg	29	11	10	8	+14	+6.4	43
6	Nordsjaelland	29	12	6	11	-2	+7.0	42
7	Viborg	29	10	11	8	+5	-4.5	41
8	Aarhus	28	10	10	8	+14	+10.7	40
9	Sonderjyske	28	8	6	14	-21	-14.5	30
10	Lyngby	29	4	12	13	-13	-5.0	24
11	Aalborg	28	5	8	15	-28	-20.6	23
12	Vejle	29	5	7	17	-29	-12.3	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	14	12	0	2	+16	+5.5	36
2	Nordsjaelland	14	9	4	1	+15	+7.1	31
3	FC Copenhagen	14	9	4	1	+13	+10.2	31
4	Randers FC	15	8	4	3	+11	+7.3	28
5	Aarhus	14	7	6	1	+16	+9.8	27
6	Brondby	15	7	6	2	+7	+6.1	27
7	Viborg	14	8	3	3	+5	-4.2	27
8	Silkeborg	14	6	5	3	+7	+3.0	23
9	Sonderjyske	14	4	4	6	-12	-11.1	16
10	Lyngby	15	3	6	6	-6	+0.6	15
11	Aalborg	15	3	4	8	-15	-10.4	13
12	Vejle	14	2	5	7	-14	-2.7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	15	7	4	4	+7	+1.4	25
2	Silkeborg	15	5	5	5	+7	+3.4	20
3	Brondby	14	5	5	4	+5	+2.1	20
4	Randers FC	14	4	5	5	-1	+0.8	17
5	Midtjylland	14	4	4	6	+2	-0.6	16
6	Viborg	15	2	8	5	+0	-0.3	14
7	Sonderjyske	14	4	2	8	-9	-3.4	14
8	Aarhus	14	3	4	7	-2	+0.9	13
9	Vejle	15	3	2	10	-15	-9.5	11
10	Nordsjaelland	15	3	2	10	-17	-0.2	11
11	Aalborg	13	2	4	7	-13	-10.1	10
12	Lyngby	14	1	6	7	-7	-5.6	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.