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Superligaen

Referee: J Maae

Aarhus

U U T S T

1–1

Full-time

Midtjylland

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 50%

42%

58%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

46%

58%

Both score Ø 61%

63%

58%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,26 xG 1,74

60% Possession 40%

8 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 10

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 4. · Midtjylland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	25	13	8	4	+15	+13.7	47
2	Midtjylland	24	14	3	7	+12	+4.9	45
3	Brondby	25	11	9	5	+14	+6.7	42
4	Aarhus	24	10	9	5	+20	+9.8	39
5	Randers FC	24	10	8	6	+11	+9.0	38
6	Viborg	25	10	7	8	+5	-7.4	37
7	Silkeborg	25	9	9	7	+8	+4.8	36
8	Nordsjaelland	24	10	5	9	+0	+6.5	35
9	Aalborg	25	5	8	12	-22	-18.8	23
10	Sonderjyske	24	5	5	14	-25	-15.2	20
11	Lyngby	25	3	10	12	-13	-5.0	19
12	Vejle	24	4	5	15	-25	-9.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	12	10	0	2	+9	+4.2	30
2	FC Copenhagen	13	8	4	1	+11	+9.9	28
3	Aarhus	12	7	5	0	+18	+8.2	26
4	Viborg	13	8	2	3	+5	-4.9	26
5	Nordsjaelland	12	7	4	1	+11	+5.3	25
6	Brondby	12	6	5	1	+9	+4.5	23
7	Randers FC	12	6	3	3	+8	+6.8	21
8	Silkeborg	12	5	4	3	+3	+1.0	19
9	Aalborg	13	3	4	6	-13	-9.6	13
10	Sonderjyske	12	3	3	6	-13	-8.4	12
11	Lyngby	12	2	5	5	-6	+0.0	11
12	Vejle	12	2	4	6	-10	-1.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	13	5	4	4	+5	+2.1	19
2	FC Copenhagen	12	5	4	3	+4	+3.8	19
3	Silkeborg	13	4	5	4	+5	+3.8	17
4	Randers FC	12	4	5	3	+3	+2.2	17
5	Midtjylland	12	4	3	5	+3	+0.7	15
6	Aarhus	12	3	4	5	+2	+1.6	13
7	Viborg	12	2	5	5	+0	-2.5	11
8	Aalborg	12	2	4	6	-9	-9.2	10
9	Nordsjaelland	12	3	1	8	-11	+1.1	10
10	Lyngby	13	1	5	7	-7	-5.0	8
11	Sonderjyske	12	2	2	8	-12	-6.8	8
12	Vejle	12	2	1	9	-15	-8.1	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.