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Superligaen

Referee: J Maae

Silkeborg

T U S T S

2–2

Full-time

Fredericia

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Silkeborg Fredericia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 29%

27%

31%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

62%

73%

Both score Ø 58%

54%

62%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,1

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,16 xG 1,40

51% Possession 49%

12 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 5

6 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Silkeborg 11. · Fredericia 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	26	16	8	2	+24	+21.0	56
2	Midtjylland	26	14	9	3	+35	+8.8	51
3	Nordsjaelland	26	13	2	11	+2	-2.0	41
4	Viborg	26	12	4	10	+4	-2.8	40
5	Brondby	27	11	5	11	+12	+8.8	38
6	Sonderjyske	27	10	8	9	-4	-4.1	38
7	FC Copenhagen	26	10	5	11	+7	+18.2	35
8	Odense	26	9	7	10	-10	+4.9	34
9	Randers FC	26	8	6	12	-6	+4.7	30
10	Fredericia	26	8	4	14	-22	-23.6	28
11	Silkeborg	26	7	5	14	-23	-19.3	26
12	Vejle	26	3	9	14	-19	-14.6	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	13	8	3	2	+12	+17.4	27
2	Midtjylland	13	7	5	1	+19	+8.7	26
3	Nordsjaelland	13	8	1	4	+11	+7.7	25
4	Sonderjyske	13	7	3	3	+6	+2.8	24
5	Brondby	14	6	3	5	+9	+6.2	21
6	Odense	13	6	3	4	-2	+6.7	21
7	Viborg	13	6	2	5	+3	-5.4	20
8	FC Copenhagen	13	4	4	5	+5	+15.9	16
9	Silkeborg	13	4	3	6	-6	-3.4	15
10	Randers FC	13	4	2	7	-7	+0.5	14
11	Vejle	13	3	4	6	-2	-3.4	13
12	Fredericia	13	3	3	7	-14	-8.0	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	13	8	5	0	+12	+3.5	29
2	Midtjylland	13	7	4	2	+16	+0.1	25
3	Viborg	13	6	2	5	+1	+2.7	20
4	FC Copenhagen	13	6	1	6	+2	+2.3	19
5	Brondby	13	5	2	6	+3	+2.6	17
6	Randers FC	13	4	4	5	+1	+4.2	16
7	Fredericia	13	5	1	7	-8	-15.6	16
8	Nordsjaelland	13	5	1	7	-9	-9.6	16
9	Sonderjyske	14	3	5	6	-10	-6.9	14
10	Odense	13	3	4	6	-8	-1.9	13
11	Silkeborg	13	3	2	8	-17	-15.9	11
12	Vejle	13	0	5	8	-17	-11.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.