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Allsvenskan

Referee: V Wolf

Varberg

T S T S T

2–0

Full-time

Sundsvall

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Sundsvall

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,2

4,0

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,3

This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,5

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

3,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%

11 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Varberg 10. · Sundsvall 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sirius	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	AIK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Varberg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Varnamo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Elfsborg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Helsingborg	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Degerfors	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Sundsvall	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Malmo FF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Varnamo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Degerfors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Norrkoping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Varberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Elfsborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sirius	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Norrkoping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	AIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Degerfors	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.