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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Maqedonci
Varberg
U T S T S
0–3
Full-time
Kalmar
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Kalmar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

41% Possession 59%
14 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Varberg 8. · Kalmar 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hammarby 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Hacken 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Djurgarden 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Mjallby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Sirius 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Goteborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Malmo FF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Varberg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Varnamo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
10 Helsingborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Kalmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Norrkoping 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 AIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Elfsborg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Degerfors 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Sundsvall 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Varberg Kalmar
Oskar Sverrisson 🟨
5′
12′
N. Girmai 0–1
36′
O. Berg 0–2
S. Skrabb
Half-time 0–2
T. Matthews 🔁
↦ Ó. Sverrisson
46′
59′
S. Skrabb 0–3
A. Lindahl
Hampus Zackrisson 🟨
65′
O. Alfonsi 🔁
↦ R. Simović
66′
J. Burke 🔁
↦ H. Zackrisson
66′
M. Madjed 🔁
↦ R. Tranberg
66′
66′
🔁 R. Sjöstedt
↦ S. Skrabb
73′
🔁 F. Sachpekidis
↦ I. Jansson
A. Boman 🔁
↦ L. Le Roux
79′
Ismet Lushaku 🟨
80′
Tashreeq Matthews 🟨
88′
Jon Birkfeldt 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Varberg

5-4-1
29 F. Andersson G
18 J. Lindner D
5 Ó. Sverrisson D
3 H. Zackrisson D
4 O. Stanisic D
2 J. Birkfeldt D
7 R. Tranberg M
8 L. Le Roux M
17 I. Lushaku M
9 R. Simović F
16 A. Johansson M
Bench (7)
10 T. Matthews
14 O. Alfonsi
33 J. Burke
19 M. Madjed
22 A. Boman
11 Eliton Júnior
1 P. Mårtensson

Coach: J. Persson

Kalmar

3-5-2
1 Ricardo Friedrich G
39 L. Sætra D
5 D. Bergqvist D
3 D. Ólafsson D
2 A. Lindahl M
29 Romário M
11 S. Skrabb M
20 O. Berg F
22 N. Girmai M
9 I. Jansson F
17 C. Gustafsson M
Bench (7)
6 R. Sjöstedt
10 F. Sachpekidis
4 E. Israelsson
32 C. Andersson
14 N. Shamoun
7 K. Jensen
23 J. Stenmark

Coach: H. Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Maqedonci · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.