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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Lille

S U S U U

1–2

Full-time

Lens

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 41%

39%

42%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

45%

55%

Both score Ø 57%

58%

55%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%

17 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 7

12 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 7. · Lens 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	31	22	5	4	+41	71
2	Marseille	31	17	8	6	+22	59
3	Rennes	32	17	5	10	+35	56
4	Monaco	32	15	8	9	+16	53
5	Strasbourg	31	14	10	7	+19	52
6	Nice	31	15	7	9	+13	52
7	Lille	31	12	12	7	+3	48
8	Lens	31	13	8	10	+8	47
9	Lyon	31	12	11	8	+4	47
10	Nantes	31	13	7	11	+6	46
11	Montpellier	31	12	5	14	+0	41
12	Brest	32	10	9	13	-7	39
13	Reims	31	8	12	11	-1	36
14	Angers	31	8	9	14	-10	33
15	Troyes	31	8	8	15	-15	32
16	Lorient	31	7	10	14	-19	31
17	St Etienne	32	7	9	16	-27	30
18	Clermont	31	7	7	17	-29	28
19	Bordeaux	31	5	11	15	-30	26
20	Metz	31	4	11	16	-29	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	14	1	0	+31	43
2	Rennes	16	11	1	4	+28	34
3	Monaco	16	9	4	3	+17	31
4	Strasbourg	16	9	4	3	+16	31
5	Lens	16	8	5	3	+13	29
6	Nantes	15	9	2	4	+10	29
7	Lyon	16	8	5	3	+8	29
8	Marseille	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Nice	15	7	4	4	+4	25
10	Lille	15	6	7	2	+3	25
11	Montpellier	16	7	3	6	+5	24
12	Lorient	15	5	5	5	+1	20
13	Angers	16	6	2	8	-2	20
14	Brest	15	5	4	6	-1	19
15	Reims	15	4	6	5	+4	18
16	Troyes	15	4	6	5	+0	18
17	St Etienne	17	4	6	7	-10	18
18	Bordeaux	16	3	5	8	-7	14
19	Clermont	16	3	5	8	-11	14
20	Metz	15	1	6	8	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	15	10	3	2	+13	33
2	Paris SG	16	8	4	4	+10	28
3	Nice	16	8	3	5	+9	27
4	Lille	16	6	5	5	+0	23
5	Rennes	16	6	4	6	+7	22
6	Monaco	16	6	4	6	-1	22
7	Strasbourg	15	5	6	4	+3	21
8	Brest	17	5	5	7	-6	20
9	Lyon	15	4	6	5	-4	18
10	Lens	15	5	3	7	-5	18
11	Reims	16	4	6	6	-5	18
12	Nantes	16	4	5	7	-4	17
13	Montpellier	15	5	2	8	-5	17
14	Troyes	16	4	2	10	-15	14
15	Clermont	15	4	2	9	-18	14
16	Metz	16	3	5	8	-18	14
17	Angers	15	2	7	6	-8	13
18	St Etienne	15	3	3	9	-17	12
19	Bordeaux	15	2	6	7	-23	12
20	Lorient	16	2	5	9	-20	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.