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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

T U T S T

3–0

Full-time

Karlsruhe

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 35%

38%

31%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

52%

72%

Both score Ø 73%

69%

76%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

24 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 2

13 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hamburg 6. · Karlsruhe 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Schalke 04	29	16	5	8	+25	53
2	St Pauli	30	15	8	7	+15	53
3	Werder Bremen	29	15	8	6	+15	53
4	Darmstadt	29	15	6	8	+19	51
5	Nurnberg	29	14	7	8	+6	49
6	Hamburg	29	11	12	6	+21	45
7	Heidenheim	29	13	6	10	-2	45
8	Paderborn	29	10	11	8	+9	41
9	Karlsruhe	29	9	12	8	+6	39
10	Regensburg	29	10	8	11	+5	38
11	Holstein Kiel	30	10	8	12	-10	38
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	30	9	10	11	+2	37
13	Hansa Rostock	29	10	7	12	-10	37
14	Hannover	30	9	9	12	-13	36
15	Sandhausen	30	8	11	11	-13	35
16	Dresden	30	7	8	15	-12	29
17	Ingolstadt	29	4	7	18	-29	19
18	Erzgebirge Aue	29	4	7	18	-34	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	14	10	3	1	+19	33
2	Heidenheim	14	9	4	1	+11	31
3	Schalke 04	15	9	2	4	+15	29
4	Hamburg	15	7	6	2	+15	27
5	Darmstadt	14	8	3	3	+13	27
6	Nurnberg	15	8	3	4	+6	27
7	Werder Bremen	14	7	5	2	+11	26
8	Holstein Kiel	15	7	2	6	-3	23
9	Regensburg	15	6	4	5	+6	22
10	Karlsruhe	15	5	7	3	+6	22
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	5	5	5	+6	20
12	Dresden	15	5	4	6	+1	19
13	Hannover	15	4	6	5	-6	18
14	Hansa Rostock	14	4	3	7	-7	15
15	Sandhausen	15	3	5	7	-11	14
16	Paderborn	15	2	7	6	-3	13
17	Erzgebirge Aue	15	3	2	10	-17	11
18	Ingolstadt	14	2	4	8	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	14	8	4	2	+12	28
2	Werder Bremen	15	8	3	4	+4	27
3	Schalke 04	14	7	3	4	+10	24
4	Darmstadt	15	7	3	5	+6	24
5	Nurnberg	14	6	4	4	+0	22
6	Hansa Rostock	15	6	4	5	-3	22
7	Sandhausen	15	5	6	4	-2	21
8	St Pauli	16	5	5	6	-4	20
9	Hamburg	14	4	6	4	+6	18
10	Hannover	15	5	3	7	-7	18
11	Karlsruhe	14	4	5	5	+0	17
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	4	5	6	-4	17
13	Regensburg	14	4	4	6	-1	16
14	Holstein Kiel	15	3	6	6	-7	15
15	Heidenheim	15	4	2	9	-13	14
16	Dresden	15	2	4	9	-13	10
17	Ingolstadt	15	2	3	10	-17	9
18	Erzgebirge Aue	14	1	5	8	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.