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Süper Lig
Referee: O Ergün
Hatayspor
U S U U T
1–1
Full-time
Sivasspor
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 38%
44%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
59%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
63%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
7 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 8. · Sivasspor 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 33 21 10 2 +32 73
2 Fenerbahce 32 17 8 7 +21 59
3 Konyaspor 32 17 7 8 +17 58
4 Buyuksehyr 32 16 5 11 +14 53
5 Ad. Demirspor 32 14 10 8 +16 52
6 Alanyaspor 32 15 7 10 +6 52
7 Besiktas 32 13 11 8 +8 50
8 Hatayspor 32 14 6 12 -1 48
9 Antalyaspor 32 13 8 11 +2 47
10 Karagumruk 33 13 8 12 -8 47
11 Kayserispor 33 11 9 13 -8 42
12 Kasimpasa 32 11 8 13 +2 41
13 Sivasspor 32 10 11 11 +0 41
14 Gaziantep 32 11 8 13 -3 41
15 Galatasaray 32 11 8 13 -5 41
16 Giresunspor 32 11 6 15 -4 39
17 Rizespor 33 8 6 19 -26 30
18 Altay 32 8 5 19 -15 29
19 Goztep 32 7 6 19 -18 27
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 32 5 5 22 -30 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Sivasspor
27′
ℹ️ Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
VAR: Penalty awarded
28′
Z. Erdal 0–1
Isaac Sackey 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
S. Lobzhanidze 🔁
↦ K. Çörekçi
46′
F. Kurucuk 🔁
↦ S. Falette
46′
1–1 Y. Benzia
S. Baş
61′
65′
🔁 H. Arslan
↦ I. Cofie
65′
🔁 F. Fajr
↦ K. Kesgin
D. Saint-Louis 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
77′
Monir El Kajoui 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Max Gradel
80′
🔁 S. Yılmaz
↦ M. Gradel
B. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
86′
S. Temel 🔁
↦ O. Ergün
86′
89′
🔁 M. Konaté
↦ M. Yatabaré
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
6 S. Falette D
23 S. Adekugbe D
76 Y. Benzia M
5 I. Sackey D
77 S. Baş M
4 O. Ergün M
8 M. Boudjemaa M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi M
Bench (9)
11 S. Lobzhanidze
22 F. Kurucuk
95 D. Saint-Louis
99 B. Yıldırım
16 S. Temel
31 A. Yiğiter
87 E. Fansa
19 M. Mert
37 E. Kaplan

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Sivasspor

4-3-3
35 A. Vural G
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
58 Z. Erdal D
77 A. Oğuz D
4 A. Appindangoye D
7 M. Gradel F
5 I. Cofie M
23 F. Ulvestad M
17 E. Yeşilyurt F
20 K. Kesgin M
9 M. Yatabaré F
Bench (10)
37 H. Arslan
76 F. Fajr
10 S. Yılmaz
15 M. Konaté
21 K. Altınay
62 Ö. Yiğiter
6 D. Goutas
14 S. Camara
81 E. Satılmış
25 M. Yıldırım

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U ✓
3,32
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Ergün · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.