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Svenska Cupen
Referee: A Ekberg
Mjallby
S S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Hammarby
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjallby Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
4,5
Scored
1,3
3,8
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+3,2
This season — Svenska Cupen · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 90%
80%
100%
Points per game
2,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
40%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,2
4,4
Scored
1,6
3,8
Conceded
0,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mjallby 6. · Hammarby 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hammarby 5 5 0 0 +16 15
2 Hacken 5 5 0 0 +15 15
3 Malmo FF 5 4 1 0 +13 13
4 Djurgarden 5 4 1 0 +10 13
5 Kalmar 5 4 1 0 +9 13
6 Mjallby 5 4 1 0 +5 13
7 GAIS 5 4 0 1 +5 12
8 AIK 5 3 1 1 +7 10
9 Norrkoping 5 3 1 1 +4 10
10 Sirius 4 3 0 1 +8 9
11 IK brage 4 3 0 1 +6 9
12 Halmstad 4 3 0 1 +5 9
13 Trelleborg 4 3 0 1 +4 9
14 Degerfors 4 3 0 1 +4 9
15 Orebro SK 4 3 0 1 +3 9
16 Trollhättan 5 3 0 2 -2 9
17 Vasteras SK 4 2 2 0 +4 8
18 Helsingborg 4 2 0 2 +6 6
19 Dalkurd FF 4 2 0 2 +1 6
20 Skövde AIK 4 2 0 2 +1 6
21 Varberg 4 2 0 2 +0 6
22 Goteborg 4 2 0 2 -1 6
23 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 -3 6
24 IFK Luleå 5 2 0 3 -3 6
25 Oskarshamns AIK 5 2 0 3 -4 6
26 Onsala 5 2 0 3 -6 6
27 Utsikten 4 1 1 2 -2 4
28 Ostersunds FK 4 1 1 2 -3 4
29 Sundsvall 4 1 1 2 -7 4
30 Norrby IF 4 1 1 2 -7 4
31 Västra Frölunda 2 1 0 1 +5 3
32 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +3 3
34 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Österlen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Vasalund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Älmhults 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Lund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Gauthiod 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Brommapojkarna 4 1 0 3 -1 3
45 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Ljungskile SK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Torns 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Enköping 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Brålanda 2 1 0 1 -5 3
55 Jonkopings Sodra 4 1 0 3 -5 3
56 Arlanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Gute 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Eneby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Haninge 2 0 1 1 -2 1
60 Täby 2 0 1 1 -2 1
61 Sleipner 2 0 1 1 -2 1
62 Ullared 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Olympic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Skiljebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Friska Viljor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Asarum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Oster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Eskilsminne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Elfsborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Lidingö 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Motala 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Angered BK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Varnamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Vänersborgs FK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Orgryte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Järfälla 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Lucksta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Lidköping 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Nordvärmland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Angelholms FF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Trosa-Vagnhärad SK 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Torslanda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Assyriska Turabdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.