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Allsvenskan
Referee: Victor Wolf
6–4
Full-time
Norrkoping
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Norrkoping
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 32%
35%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
59%
Both score Ø 53%
41%
65%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–4

1,52 xG 1,98
54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brommapojkarna 10. · Norrkoping 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 18 13 4 1 +21 +3.6 43
2 Hammarby 18 12 3 3 +18 +12.5 39
3 Malmo FF 18 9 6 3 +14 +10.5 33
4 AIK 18 9 6 3 +8 +3.5 33
5 Elfsborg 17 10 2 5 +9 +2.4 32
6 GAIS 17 8 7 2 +14 +7.2 31
7 Djurgarden 17 7 4 6 +3 +4.4 25
8 Goteborg 17 8 1 8 -2 +1.7 25
9 Hacken 17 6 4 7 -6 +0.8 22
10 Brommapojkarna 17 6 1 10 -2 +0.0 19
11 Norrkoping 17 5 4 8 -4 -10.8 19
12 Halmstad 17 5 2 10 -20 -10.8 17
13 Degerfors 17 4 2 11 -18 -1.3 14
14 Sirius 17 3 4 10 -8 -5.7 13
15 Oster 17 3 4 10 -11 -9.3 13
16 Varnamo 17 1 4 12 -16 -8.6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brommapojkarna Norrkoping
5′
⚽ D. Karlsson 0–1
7′
⚽ D. Karlsson 0–2
C. Nyman
1–2 V. Lind ⚽
A. Jakobsen
10′
16′
⚽ A. Traustason 1–3
36′
⚽ I. Sigurgeirsson 1–4
D. Karlsson
2–4 V. Lind ⚽
K. Barslund
45′
3–4 A. Jakobsen ⚽
L. Arrhov
45′
Half-time 3–4
C. Nilden 🔁
↦ E. Alladoh
46′
R. Orqvist 🔁
↦ L. Arrhov
52′
65′
🔁 T. Prica
↦ D. Karlsson
W. Odefalk 🔁
↦ K. Barslund
66′
4–4 W. Odefalk ⚽
71′
Oliver Zandén 🟨
73′
5–4 A. Jakobsen ⚽
O. Zanden
76′
80′
🔁 M. Baggesen
↦ M. Neffati
80′
🔁 A. Andersson
↦ A. Fransson
6–4 V. Lind ⚽
W. Odefalk
84′
87′
🔁 J. Arnarsson
↦ K. Jansson
Kevin Ackermann 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Arnór Traustason
I. Ssewankambo 🔁
↦ V. Lind
93′
95′
🟨 Max Watson
Charlie Nilden 🟨
96′
Full-time 6–4

Line-ups

Brommapojkarna

4-2-3-1
40 L. Cavallius G
21 A. Timossi D
3 E. Hovland D
4 E. Bjorkander
6 O. Zanden D
24 K. Ackermann M
27 K. Barslund M
31 L. Arrhov M
16 A. Jakobsen M
7 V. Lind M
23 E. Alladoh F
Bench (9)
25 D. Blazevic
2 H. Karlsson
10 W. Odefalk
11 R. Orqvist
12 C. Nilden
17 A. Kurochkin
28 I. Ssewankambo
32 O. Cotton
39 N. Bahoui

Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Norrkoping

4-2-3-1
40 D. Andersson G
37 M. Neffati D
24 A. Eriksson D
19 M. Watson D
25 K. Jansson D
11 I. Lushaku M
7 A. Fransson M
10 D. Karlsson M
9 A. Traustason M
8 I. Sigurgeirsson M
5 C. Nyman F
Bench (9)
30 T. Krantz
3 M. Baggesen
18 J. Arnarsson
20 A. Bronner
22 T. Prica
28 A. Andersson
31 J. Lindvall
33 F. Werner
36 M. Rawufu

Coach: Martin Falk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Victor Wolf · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.