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Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
S T S T T
3–0
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
39%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 61%
61%
61%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 9. · Lechia Gdansk 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 19 12 2 5 +21 38
2 Pogon Szczecin 19 10 5 4 +7 35
3 Slask Wroclaw 19 9 7 3 +8 34
4 Cracovia 19 10 3 6 +11 33
5 Piast Gliwice 19 9 4 6 +2 31
6 Lech Poznan 19 8 6 5 +13 30
7 Lechia Gdansk 18 8 6 4 +7 30
8 Wisla Plock 19 8 3 8 -8 27
9 Jagiellonia 18 7 5 6 +5 26
10 Zaglebie 19 7 4 8 +2 25
11 Rakow 19 8 1 10 -8 25
12 Gornik Zabrze 19 4 8 7 -6 20
13 Arka Gdynia 19 5 5 9 -11 20
14 Korona Kielce 19 5 3 11 -13 18
15 LKS Lodz 19 4 2 13 -15 14
16 Wisla 19 4 2 13 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.