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Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia

U S T S T

2–0

Full-time

Arka Gdynia

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Arka Gdynia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

53%

40%

Both score Ø 54%

67%

40%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 9. · Arka Gdynia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	16	9	4	3	+7	31
2	Legia	16	9	2	5	+12	29
3	Piast Gliwice	16	8	4	4	+5	28
4	Cracovia	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Slask Wroclaw	15	7	6	2	+7	27
6	Wisla Plock	16	8	3	5	-2	27
7	Lechia Gdansk	16	6	6	4	+4	24
8	Lech Poznan	16	6	5	5	+9	23
9	Jagiellonia	15	6	5	4	+5	23
10	Zaglebie	15	5	4	6	+2	19
11	Rakow	16	6	1	9	-7	19
12	Gornik Zabrze	16	3	8	5	-5	17
13	Korona Kielce	16	4	3	9	-9	15
14	Arka Gdynia	15	3	4	8	-11	13
15	Wisla	15	3	2	10	-12	11
16	LKS Lodz	16	3	2	11	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	Piast Gliwice	8	5	2	1	+6	17
3	Legia	8	5	1	2	+13	16
4	Cracovia	8	5	1	2	+6	16
5	Slask Wroclaw	7	4	3	0	+5	15
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Jagiellonia	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	3	4	2	+3	13
9	Gornik Zabrze	8	3	4	1	+3	13
10	Zaglebie	8	3	3	2	+5	12
11	Rakow	8	4	0	4	+0	12
12	Lech Poznan	8	3	2	3	+7	11
13	Korona Kielce	8	3	1	4	+0	10
14	Wisla	7	3	0	4	+3	9
15	LKS Lodz	8	2	1	5	-2	7
16	Arka Gdynia	7	1	4	2	-3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	8	5	2	1	+3	17
2	Legia	8	4	1	3	-1	13
3	Lech Poznan	8	3	3	2	+2	12
4	Slask Wroclaw	8	3	3	2	+2	12
5	Cracovia	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Lechia Gdansk	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Piast Gliwice	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Jagiellonia	8	2	4	2	+1	10
9	Wisla Plock	8	3	1	4	-9	10
10	Zaglebie	7	2	1	4	-3	7
11	Rakow	8	2	1	5	-7	7
12	Arka Gdynia	8	2	0	6	-8	6
13	Korona Kielce	8	1	2	5	-9	5
14	Gornik Zabrze	8	0	4	4	-8	4
15	LKS Lodz	8	1	1	6	-11	4
16	Wisla	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.