← Match Finder
Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Costa
Porto
S S S S T
1–2
Full-time
Gil Vicente
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Porto Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 53%
76%
29%
Points per game
2,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 0
5 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 8
5 Yellow cards 5
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Porto 2. · Gil Vicente 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 22 19 2 1 +43 59
2 Porto 21 16 3 2 +36 51
3 Sp Braga 21 16 1 4 +27 49
4 Sp Lisbon 21 13 2 6 +20 41
5 Guimaraes 21 10 4 7 -1 34
6 Arouca 22 9 6 7 -5 33
7 Casa Pia 22 9 5 8 -4 32
8 Boavista 22 8 5 9 -8 29
9 Rio Ave 22 7 6 9 -4 27
10 Famalicao 22 8 3 11 -7 27
11 Vizela 22 7 5 10 +0 26
12 Chaves 22 6 8 8 -7 26
13 Portimonense 22 8 2 12 -10 26
14 Gil Vicente 21 6 5 10 -7 23
15 Estoril 21 6 4 11 -10 22
16 Maritimo 22 4 4 14 -23 16
17 Santa Clara 22 3 6 13 -16 15
18 Pacos Ferreira 22 3 3 16 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Porto Gil Vicente
1–0 M. Taremi
D. Namaso
4′
22′
🟨 Kanya Fujimoto
27′
Fran Navarro 1–1
Zé Carlos
João Mário ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
34′
João Mário 🟥
35′
Mateus Uribe 🟨
43′
43′
ℹ️ Fran Navarro
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Mateus Uribe ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
44′
Half-time 1–1
Z. Sanusi 🔁
↦ Wendell
46′
Gonçalo Borges 🔁
↦ D. Namaso
46′
47′
Murilo 1–2
Mateus Uribe 🟨
52′
Mateus Uribe 🟥
52′
Otávio 🟨
63′
64′
🟨 Zé Carlos
Stephen Eustaquio ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
70′
72′
🔁 Marlon
↦ J. Boselli
73′
🔁 B. Aouacheria
↦ Murilo
Stephen Eustaquio 🟨
76′
76′
🟨 Fran Navarro
Pepe 🟨
78′
Rodrigo Conceição 🔁
↦ S. Eustáquio
79′
82′
🔁 R. Wilson
↦ Pedro Tiba
83′
🟨 Andrew
Toni Martínez 🔁
↦ Z. Sanusi
85′
86′
🟨 Bilel Aouacheria
91′
🔁 Kevin Villodres
↦ Fran Navarro
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Porto

4-2-3-1
99 Diogo Costa G
23 João Mário D
3 Pepe D
5 Iván Marcano D
22 Wendell D
8 M. Uribe M
46 S. Eustáquio M
11 Pepê Aquino M
25 Otávio M
9 M. Taremi M
19 D. Namaso F
Bench (9)
12 Z. Sanusi
70 Gonçalo Borges
17 Rodrigo Conceição
29 Toni Martínez
2 Fábio Cardoso
16 M. Grujić
87 Bernardo Folha
14 Cláudio Ramos
20 André Franco

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
42 Andrew G
2 Zé Carlos D
72 Tomás Araújo D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
19 Adrián Marín D
10 K. Fujimoto M
8 G. Aburjania M
25 Pedro Tiba M
77 Murilo F
9 Fran Navarro F
20 J. Boselli F
Bench (9)
11 Marlon
7 B. Aouacheria
14 R. Wilson
17 Kevin Villodres
16 Andre Simões
6 Lucas Barros
13 Gabriel Pereira
4 Manuel Lopes
12 Brian Araújo

Coach: Daniel Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,20
U
7,05
B ✓
12,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,42
U2,5
2,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rui Costa · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.