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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Levante
U S S S U
3–1
Full-time
Lugo
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 32%
46%
18%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
29%
32%
Both score Ø 41%
43%
39%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

71% Possession 29%
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
17 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 4. · Lugo 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 28 14 11 3 +18 53
2 Alaves 29 15 8 6 +14 53
3 Eibar 29 15 8 6 +9 53
4 Levante 28 13 12 3 +14 51
5 Granada 28 14 6 8 +16 48
6 Albacete 28 12 10 6 +6 46
7 Burgos 28 11 11 6 +8 44
8 Cartagena 29 11 8 10 +3 41
9 Leganes 29 10 10 9 +2 40
10 Huesca 29 8 13 8 -1 37
11 Tenerife 29 9 10 10 -2 37
12 Villarreal B 29 10 7 12 -6 37
13 Sp Gijon 29 8 12 9 -2 36
14 Andorra 29 10 5 14 +1 35
15 Mirandes 29 8 10 11 -4 34
16 Oviedo 28 9 7 12 -5 34
17 Santander 29 8 9 12 -4 33
18 Zaragoza 28 8 9 11 -6 33
19 Ponferradina 28 6 11 11 -9 29
20 Malaga 28 5 10 13 -9 25
21 Lugo 28 5 7 16 -19 22
22 Ibiza 29 4 8 17 -24 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Nov -22 Lugo – Levante 1–1

Match report

Levante Lugo
1–0 M. Bouldini
Pablo Martínez
16′
Pepelu 🟨
21′
42′
Sebas Moyano 1–1
Gui
2–1 Pablo Martínez
Jorge de Frutos
44′
Half-time 2–1
60′
🔁 Manu Barreiro
↦ M. Šćepović
69′
🔁 Javier Avilés
↦ J. Cuéllar
69′
🔁 Ángel Baena
↦ Xavi Torres
Rober Ibáñez 🔁
↦ Cantero
72′
C. Musonda 🔁
↦ Joni Montiel
82′
Wesley Moraes 🔁
↦ M. Bouldini
82′
Marc Pubill 🔁
↦ Son
91′
3–1 Rober Ibáñez
Pablo Martínez
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Levante

4-2-3-1
1 Dani Cárdenas G
2 Son D
10 Iborra D
4 Róber Pier D
23 M. Saracchi D
8 Pepelu M
6 Pablo Martínez M
18 Jorge de Frutos M
20 Joni Montiel M
11 Cantero M
22 M. Bouldini F
Bench (7)
19 Rober Ibáñez
21 C. Musonda
7 Wesley Moraes
29 Marc Pubill
34 Carlos Benítez
13 Joan Femenías
31 Carlos Giménez

Coach: Javi Calleja

Lugo

4-3-3
13 Óscar Whalley G
15 Miguel Loureiro D
3 A. Pantić D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
17 Andoni López D
38 Gui M
14 Xavi Torres M
18 M. El Hacen M
29 J. Cuéllar F
16 M. Šćepović F
7 Sebas Moyano F
Bench (11)
9 Manu Barreiro
19 Javier Avilés
11 Ángel Baena
12 Zé Ricardo
22 Marc Carbó
4 Clavería
23 Jordi Calavera
20 Bruno Pirri
32 I. Thiam
1 P. Sequeira
27 Andrés Castrín

Coach: Fran Justo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,31
U
4,68
B
10,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.