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Bundesliga

Referee: A Harkam

Salzburg

S S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Ried

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Ried

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 48%

78%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

56%

39%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

0,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

19 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Ried 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	18	14	3	1	+30	45
2	Sturm Graz	19	11	6	2	+16	39
3	LASK	19	9	7	3	+11	34
4	SK Rapid	19	9	3	7	+10	30
5	Austria Vienna	19	8	5	6	+4	29
6	Tirol	19	8	4	7	+0	28
7	A. Klagenfurt	19	7	3	9	-7	24
8	A. Lustenau	19	5	6	8	-9	21
9	Wolfsberger AC	19	6	2	11	-4	20
10	Altach	19	4	4	11	-18	16
11	Ried	18	3	5	10	-13	14
12	Hartberg	19	4	2	13	-20	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	10	7	1	2	+9	22
2	Salzburg	9	6	3	0	+13	21
3	LASK	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Austria Vienna	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	A. Lustenau	9	4	3	2	+0	15
6	SK Rapid	9	4	1	4	+4	13
7	Tirol	9	3	3	3	-5	12
8	Ried	9	2	3	4	-4	9
9	Altach	10	2	3	5	-5	9
10	A. Klagenfurt	9	2	1	6	-8	7
11	Hartberg	9	2	1	6	-9	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	10	1	1	8	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	8	0	1	+17	24
2	Sturm Graz	9	4	5	0	+7	17
3	SK Rapid	10	5	2	3	+6	17
4	A. Klagenfurt	10	5	2	3	+1	17
5	LASK	9	4	4	1	+7	16
6	Tirol	10	5	1	4	+5	16
7	Wolfsberger AC	9	5	1	3	+5	16
8	Austria Vienna	9	3	3	3	+0	12
9	Hartberg	10	2	1	7	-11	7
10	Altach	9	2	1	6	-13	7
11	A. Lustenau	10	1	3	6	-9	6
12	Ried	9	1	2	6	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.