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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Vitesse

U S U S T

1–2

Full-time

Ajax

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 41%

23%

59%

Points per game

1,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

64%

68%

Both score Ø 62%

55%

68%

Average goals

3,0

3,9

Scored

1,2

2,9

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

32% Possession 68%

10 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 13. · Ajax 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	23	15	7	1	+31	52
2	AZ Alkmaar	23	14	5	4	+21	47
3	Ajax	22	13	7	2	+41	46
4	PSV Eindhoven	22	13	4	5	+30	43
5	Twente	20	11	6	3	+21	39
6	Sparta Rotterdam	20	10	6	4	+12	36
7	Waalwijk	23	8	8	7	+3	32
8	Utrecht	21	8	7	6	-2	31
9	Nijmegen	23	6	12	5	+8	30
10	Heerenveen	22	7	6	9	-6	27
11	For Sittard	23	7	5	11	-11	26
12	Go Ahead Eagles	22	6	7	9	-6	25
13	Vitesse	22	5	8	9	-12	23
14	Volendam	23	5	5	13	-27	20
15	Excelsior	23	6	2	15	-34	20
16	FC Emmen	22	3	8	11	-20	17
17	Groningen	23	4	5	14	-23	17
18	Cambuur	23	3	4	16	-26	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	11	9	2	0	+24	29
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	9	1	1	+27	28
3	Feyenoord	11	7	4	0	+17	25
4	Ajax	11	6	4	1	+25	22
5	Sparta Rotterdam	10	7	1	2	+11	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	4	1	+10	22
7	Waalwijk	11	6	3	2	+11	21
8	Nijmegen	12	3	8	1	+9	17
9	Utrecht	10	4	4	2	+1	16
10	Go Ahead Eagles	12	4	4	4	-1	16
11	Excelsior	11	5	1	5	-6	16
12	FC Emmen	11	2	7	2	-2	13
13	Volendam	11	4	1	6	-9	13
14	Groningen	12	3	3	6	-4	12
15	For Sittard	12	3	3	6	-5	12
16	Heerenveen	11	3	2	6	-6	11
17	Vitesse	10	2	4	4	-9	10
18	Cambuur	12	1	0	11	-19	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+14	27
2	AZ Alkmaar	12	8	1	3	+11	25
3	Ajax	11	7	3	1	+16	24
4	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+0	16
5	PSV Eindhoven	11	4	3	4	+3	15
6	Utrecht	11	4	3	4	-3	15
7	Sparta Rotterdam	10	3	5	2	+1	14
8	For Sittard	11	4	2	5	-6	14
9	Nijmegen	11	3	4	4	-1	13
10	Vitesse	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	Waalwijk	12	2	5	5	-8	11
12	Twente	9	2	4	3	-3	10
13	Cambuur	11	2	4	5	-7	10
14	Go Ahead Eagles	10	2	3	5	-5	9
15	Volendam	12	1	4	7	-18	7
16	Groningen	11	1	2	8	-19	5
17	FC Emmen	11	1	1	9	-18	4
18	Excelsior	12	1	1	10	-28	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.