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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Kos

Widzew Lodz

U S T S U

0–1

Full-time

Warta Poznan

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Warta Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 28%

33%

23%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

42%

23%

Both score Ø 53%

67%

38%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%

26 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

14 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Widzew Lodz 12. · Warta Poznan 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	14	9	2	3	+15	+6.2	29
2	Slask Wroclaw	13	8	3	2	+12	+4.1	27
3	Pogon Szczecin	14	8	1	5	+12	+8.1	25
4	Lech Poznan	13	7	4	2	+7	-3.4	25
5	Rakow	12	7	2	3	+9	+6.0	23
6	Legia	12	6	2	4	+2	+2.0	20
7	Zaglebie	13	6	2	5	-2	-0.9	20
8	Radomiak Radom	13	5	3	5	+0	+0.5	18
9	Piast Gliwice	14	2	10	2	+0	+10.6	16
10	Gornik Zabrze	13	4	4	5	-2	-6.8	16
11	Korona Kielce	13	3	6	4	+0	-0.9	15
12	Widzew Lodz	12	4	3	5	-2	-3.7	15
13	Stal Mielec	14	4	3	7	-3	-6.1	15
14	Cracovia	12	3	6	3	-4	-0.2	15
15	Warta Poznan	13	3	5	5	-1	-1.2	14
16	Puszcza	14	2	4	8	-14	-8.2	10
17	Ruch Chorzow	12	1	5	6	-9	-3.1	8
18	LKS Lodz	13	2	1	10	-20	-3.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	7	7	0	0	+17	+8.1	21
2	Lech Poznan	7	5	2	0	+11	+0.7	17
3	Rakow	7	5	2	0	+11	+5.5	17
4	Legia	7	5	0	2	+7	+5.2	15
5	Zaglebie	7	4	2	1	+3	+2.3	14
6	Slask Wroclaw	6	4	1	1	+7	+4.6	13
7	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	0	3	+4	+9.8	12
8	Widzew Lodz	5	4	0	1	+3	+1.9	12
9	Stal Mielec	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.3	11
10	Piast Gliwice	7	2	4	1	+1	+7.6	10
11	Korona Kielce	6	2	3	1	+3	+4.8	9
12	Radomiak Radom	6	2	3	1	+3	+1.5	9
13	Puszcza	7	2	3	2	-2	-0.7	9
14	Gornik Zabrze	6	2	2	2	-2	-2.9	8
15	LKS Lodz	6	2	1	3	-7	-2.2	7
16	Warta Poznan	7	1	3	3	-2	-0.3	6
17	Cracovia	6	1	3	2	-5	-1.0	6
18	Ruch Chorzow	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	7	4	2	1	+5	-0.5	14
2	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	1	2	+8	-1.7	13
3	Cracovia	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.8	9
4	Radomiak Radom	7	3	0	4	-3	-1.0	9
5	Warta Poznan	6	2	2	2	+1	-0.8	8
6	Gornik Zabrze	7	2	2	3	+0	-4.0	8
7	Jagiellonia	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.9	8
8	Lech Poznan	6	2	2	2	-4	-4.1	8
9	Piast Gliwice	7	0	6	1	-1	+3.0	6
10	Rakow	5	2	0	3	-2	+0.5	6
11	Korona Kielce	7	1	3	3	-3	-5.6	6
12	Zaglebie	6	2	0	4	-5	-3.2	6
13	Legia	5	1	2	2	-5	-3.2	5
14	Stal Mielec	7	1	1	5	-7	-6.4	4
15	Widzew Lodz	7	0	3	4	-5	-5.6	3
16	Ruch Chorzow	6	0	3	3	-5	-2.3	3
17	Puszcza	7	0	1	6	-12	-7.5	1
18	LKS Lodz	7	0	0	7	-13	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.