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Ekstraklasa

Referee: W Myć

Warta Poznan

T S T U S

1–1

Full-time

Piast Gliwice

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Piast Gliwice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 21%

25%

17%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 46%

33%

58%

Average goals

2,1

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,54 xG 1,61

38% Possession 62%

7 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

28 Free kicks against 8

6 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 14. · Piast Gliwice 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	12	8	2	2	+12	+8.4	26
2	Slask Wroclaw	12	8	2	2	+12	+4.1	26
3	Lech Poznan	12	7	3	2	+7	-3.4	24
4	Rakow	11	7	1	3	+9	+5.6	22
5	Legia	11	6	2	3	+4	-0.1	20
6	Zaglebie	12	6	2	4	-1	-1.6	20
7	Pogon Szczecin	12	6	1	5	+9	+5.9	19
8	Gornik Zabrze	13	4	4	5	-2	-6.8	16
9	Radomiak Radom	12	4	3	5	-1	+1.2	15
10	Korona Kielce	12	3	5	4	+0	-0.9	14
11	Piast Gliwice	12	2	8	2	+0	+9.5	14
12	Widzew Lodz	11	4	2	5	-2	-3.3	14
13	Cracovia	11	3	5	3	-4	-0.2	14
14	Warta Poznan	12	3	4	5	-1	-0.1	13
15	Stal Mielec	12	3	3	6	-1	-3.9	12
16	Puszcza	13	2	4	7	-12	-8.2	10
17	Ruch Chorzow	11	1	4	6	-9	-3.1	7
18	LKS Lodz	13	2	1	10	-20	-3.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	6	6	0	0	+13	+8.1	18
2	Lech Poznan	7	5	2	0	+11	+0.7	17
3	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+11	+5.1	16
4	Legia	6	5	0	1	+9	+3.1	15
5	Zaglebie	6	4	2	0	+4	+1.5	14
6	Slask Wroclaw	6	4	1	1	+7	+4.6	13
7	Widzew Lodz	5	4	0	1	+3	+1.9	12
8	Stal Mielec	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.3	11
9	Pogon Szczecin	6	3	0	3	+3	+7.6	9
10	Korona Kielce	6	2	3	1	+3	+4.8	9
11	Radomiak Radom	6	2	3	1	+3	+1.5	9
12	Piast Gliwice	6	2	3	1	+1	+7.6	9
13	Puszcza	6	2	3	1	+0	-0.7	9
14	Gornik Zabrze	6	2	2	2	-2	-2.9	8
15	LKS Lodz	6	2	1	3	-7	-2.2	7
16	Warta Poznan	6	1	2	3	-2	+0.7	5
17	Cracovia	5	1	2	2	-5	-1.0	5
18	Ruch Chorzow	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	6	4	1	1	+5	-0.5	13
2	Pogon Szczecin	6	3	1	2	+6	-1.7	10
3	Cracovia	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.8	9
4	Warta Poznan	6	2	2	2	+1	-0.8	8
5	Gornik Zabrze	7	2	2	3	+0	-4.0	8
6	Jagiellonia	6	2	2	2	-1	+0.4	8
7	Lech Poznan	5	2	1	2	-4	-4.1	7
8	Rakow	5	2	0	3	-2	+0.5	6
9	Radomiak Radom	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.3	6
10	Zaglebie	6	2	0	4	-5	-3.2	6
11	Piast Gliwice	6	0	5	1	-1	+1.9	5
12	Korona Kielce	6	1	2	3	-3	-5.6	5
13	Legia	5	1	2	2	-5	-3.2	5
14	Ruch Chorzow	6	0	3	3	-5	-2.3	3
15	Widzew Lodz	6	0	2	4	-5	-5.2	2
16	Stal Mielec	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.3	1
17	Puszcza	7	0	1	6	-12	-7.5	1
18	LKS Lodz	7	0	0	7	-13	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.