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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Musial

LKS Lodz

T T T U T

1–1

Full-time

Legia

U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LKS Lodz Legia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 32%

13%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

56%

63%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

0,7

1,6

Conceded

2,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,72 xG 1,93

29% Possession 71%

11 Shots 24

2 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match LKS Lodz 18. · Legia 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	18	11	5	2	+15	+2.4	38
2	Jagiellonia	17	10	4	3	+16	+6.8	34
3	Lech Poznan	18	9	5	4	+7	-2.0	32
4	Rakow	16	8	5	3	+14	+7.6	29
5	Legia	16	8	4	4	+6	+3.9	28
6	Pogon Szczecin	18	8	3	7	+10	+10.1	27
7	Zaglebie	18	7	4	7	-8	+3.1	25
8	Radomiak Radom	18	6	5	7	+1	+2.3	23
9	Gornik Zabrze	18	6	5	7	-2	-2.9	23
10	Stal Mielec	17	6	4	7	-1	-7.8	22
11	Widzew Lodz	17	6	4	7	-3	-2.0	22
12	Piast Gliwice	17	3	12	2	+1	+10.4	21
13	Warta Poznan	18	4	7	7	-3	-2.9	19
14	Korona Kielce	17	3	9	5	-1	-1.3	18
15	Cracovia	17	3	9	5	-6	-2.1	18
16	Puszcza	16	4	4	8	-11	-11.0	16
17	Ruch Chorzow	18	1	9	8	-12	-7.5	12
18	LKS Lodz	16	2	2	12	-23	-7.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	8	7	1	0	+17	+8.4	22
2	Rakow	9	6	3	0	+16	+8.0	21
3	Lech Poznan	10	6	2	2	+10	+0.5	20
4	Slask Wroclaw	9	5	3	1	+8	+4.3	18
5	Legia	9	5	2	2	+7	+6.0	17
6	Zaglebie	9	4	3	2	+0	+2.5	15
7	Widzew Lodz	8	5	0	3	+0	+4.8	15
8	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+5	-0.9	14
9	Pogon Szczecin	10	4	2	4	+3	+11.8	14
10	Gornik Zabrze	8	4	2	2	+0	-2.9	14
11	Puszcza	8	3	3	2	-1	-3.4	12
12	Korona Kielce	8	2	4	2	+2	+3.9	10
13	Radomiak Radom	9	2	4	3	+1	+2.9	10
14	Piast Gliwice	7	2	4	1	+1	+7.6	10
15	Ruch Chorzow	9	1	5	3	-4	-1.7	8
16	Cracovia	9	1	5	3	-6	-0.4	8
17	LKS Lodz	8	2	2	4	-9	-6.1	8
18	Warta Poznan	9	1	3	5	-5	-0.8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	9	6	2	1	+7	-1.9	20
2	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	1	3	+7	-1.7	13
3	Warta Poznan	9	3	4	2	+2	-2.2	13
4	Radomiak Radom	9	4	1	4	+0	-0.6	13
5	Jagiellonia	9	3	3	3	-1	-1.6	12
6	Lech Poznan	8	3	3	2	-3	-2.5	12
7	Piast Gliwice	10	1	8	1	+0	+2.8	11
8	Legia	7	3	2	2	-1	-2.0	11
9	Cracovia	8	2	4	2	+0	-1.7	10
10	Zaglebie	9	3	1	5	-8	+0.6	10
11	Gornik Zabrze	10	2	3	5	-2	-0.1	9
12	Rakow	7	2	2	3	-2	-0.4	8
13	Korona Kielce	9	1	5	3	-3	-5.2	8
14	Stal Mielec	9	2	2	5	-6	-7.0	8
15	Widzew Lodz	9	1	4	4	-3	-6.8	7
16	Ruch Chorzow	9	0	4	5	-8	-5.9	4
17	Puszcza	8	1	1	6	-10	-7.7	4
18	LKS Lodz	8	0	0	8	-14	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.