← Match Finder
Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Jakubik
Lech Poznan
S U T T U
2–0
Full-time
Warta Poznan
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Lech Poznan Warta Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 36%
46%
25%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 46%
54%
38%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,56 xG 1,35
61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 4
9 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lech Poznan 4. · Warta Poznan 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 24 13 6 5 +20 +11.0 45
2 Slask Wroclaw 24 13 6 5 +13 +2.8 45
3 Rakow 24 12 7 5 +20 +15.6 43
4 Lech Poznan 24 11 8 5 +6 -3.0 41
5 Pogon Szczecin 24 12 4 8 +16 +12.2 40
6 Legia 24 10 8 6 +6 +9.8 38
7 Gornik Zabrze 24 10 6 8 +4 -3.3 36
8 Stal Mielec 25 10 6 9 +0 -9.9 36
9 Zaglebie 25 9 7 9 -8 +2.8 34
10 Widzew Lodz 24 9 4 11 -3 -3.8 31
11 Radomiak Radom 24 8 7 9 -7 +0.2 31
12 Piast Gliwice 24 5 13 6 -3 +8.4 28
13 Cracovia 24 5 12 7 -1 -0.4 27
14 Warta Poznan 24 6 9 9 -5 -7.0 27
15 Korona Kielce 24 4 11 9 -6 -2.0 23
16 Puszcza 24 5 8 11 -13 -15.2 23
17 Ruch Chorzow 24 2 12 10 -12 -6.1 18
18 LKS Lodz 24 4 4 16 -27 -11.9 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lech Poznan Warta Poznan
Bartosz Salamon 🟨
22′
Ali Gholizadeh 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Velde ⚽
F. Marchwiński
52′
A. Czerwiński 🔁
↦ A. Ba Loua
65′
2–0 K. Velde ⚽
A. Czerwiński
80′
82′
🔁 M. Kupczak
↦ Miguel Luís
82′
🔁 J. Kiełb
↦ T. Přikryl
82′
🔁 S. Savić
↦ B. Țîru
82′
🔁 D. Vizinger
↦ M. Żurawski
N. Kvekveskiri 🔁
↦ A. Gholizadeh
86′
Elias Andersson 🟨
89′
M. Dziuba 🔁
↦ F. Marchwiński
91′
91′
🔁 F. Tonder
↦ K. Szmyt
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-4-1-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 Joel Pereira D
18 B. Salamon D
23 M. Blažič D
5 E. Andersson D
50 A. Ba Loua M
22 R. Murawski M
10 F. Marchwiński M
11 K. Velde M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
17 F. Szymczak F
Bench (8)
44 A. Czerwiński
30 N. Kvekveskiri
19 M. Dziuba
35 F. Bednarek
15 M. Gurgul
3 B. Douglas
16 A. Milić
74 N. Pacławski

Coach: M. Rumak

Warta Poznan

3-4-3
33 J. Grobelny G
4 D. Stavrópoulos D
44 D. Szymonowicz D
14 B. Țîru D
20 M. Mezghrani M
16 Miguel Luís M
6 M. Żurawski M
22 K. Matuszewski M
7 K. Szmyt F
9 M. Eppel F
47 T. Přikryl F
Bench (9)
21 M. Kupczak
3 J. Kiełb
77 S. Savić
29 D. Vizinger
11 F. Tonder
1 A. Lis
24 P. Rychlik
25 J. Paszkowski
8 N. Mäenpää

Coach: D. Szulczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

K Jakubik · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.