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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Warta Poznan

T S S U U

0–1

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,3

This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 36%

33%

38%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

44%

38%

Both score Ø 36%

33%

38%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 16. · Lech Poznan 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	10	6	2	2	+1	20
2	Rakow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
3	Pogon Szczecin	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Wisla Plock	10	5	2	3	+9	17
5	Widzew Lodz	10	5	1	4	+4	16
6	Cracovia	10	4	2	4	+3	14
7	Radomiak Radom	10	4	2	4	-2	14
8	Jagiellonia	10	3	4	3	+3	13
9	Gornik Zabrze	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Zaglebie	10	3	4	3	-3	13
11	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	4	3	-4	13
12	Stal Mielec	10	4	1	5	-5	13
13	Lech Poznan	8	3	2	3	+1	11
14	Piast Gliwice	9	3	2	4	+0	11
15	Korona Kielce	10	3	2	5	-1	11
16	Warta Poznan	9	3	2	4	-3	11
17	Legnica	9	1	2	6	-7	5
18	Lechia Gdansk	9	1	2	6	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Legia	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Wisla Plock	4	3	1	0	+7	10
5	Cracovia	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Jagiellonia	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	2	1	-1	8
8	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Stal Mielec	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Widzew Lodz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Zaglebie	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Lech Poznan	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Korona Kielce	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Legnica	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Warta Poznan	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	6	3	1	2	+3	10
2	Warta Poznan	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Wisla Plock	6	2	1	3	+2	7
5	Korona Kielce	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	Zaglebie	5	2	1	2	-3	7
9	Legia	5	2	1	2	-5	7
10	Stal Mielec	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Lech Poznan	3	1	2	0	+3	5
12	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Jagiellonia	5	0	4	1	-1	4
14	Cracovia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Legnica	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.