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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Rakow

S T S U T

4–0

Full-time

Lech Poznan

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 49%

48%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 61%

62%

59%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,9

1,6

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,75 xG 0,80

35% Possession 65%

20 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 0

7 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 6. · Lech Poznan 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	23	13	6	4	+15	+4.7	45
2	Jagiellonia	23	12	6	5	+18	+9.1	42
3	Pogon Szczecin	23	12	4	7	+18	+11.8	40
4	Lech Poznan	22	11	7	4	+10	-2.6	40
5	Legia	23	10	8	5	+7	+9.3	38
6	Rakow	21	10	6	5	+14	+14.6	36
7	Gornik Zabrze	23	10	5	8	+4	-2.8	35
8	Stal Mielec	22	9	5	8	-1	-8.0	32
9	Zaglebie	23	8	6	9	-10	+1.8	30
10	Widzew Lodz	23	8	4	11	-4	-3.3	28
11	Warta Poznan	23	6	9	8	-4	-8.0	27
12	Cracovia	23	5	11	7	-1	+0.2	26
13	Piast Gliwice	22	4	13	5	-3	+7.5	25
14	Radomiak Radom	22	6	7	9	-9	-1.4	25
15	Korona Kielce	22	4	10	8	-4	-2.4	22
16	Puszcza	22	5	7	10	-12	-15.4	22
17	Ruch Chorzow	23	2	12	9	-10	-4.2	18
18	LKS Lodz	23	3	4	16	-28	-10.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	11	8	3	0	+19	+11.2	27
2	Jagiellonia	11	8	2	1	+18	+9.2	26
3	Lech Poznan	12	7	3	2	+12	+1.3	24
4	Gornik Zabrze	11	7	2	2	+6	-2.0	23
5	Legia	12	6	4	2	+9	+10.6	22
6	Stal Mielec	11	6	3	2	+7	-1.0	21
7	Slask Wroclaw	12	6	3	3	+7	+7.3	21
8	Zaglebie	12	5	4	3	+0	+0.2	19
9	Widzew Lodz	11	6	0	5	-1	+4.2	18
10	Pogon Szczecin	11	5	2	4	+5	+12.7	17
11	Puszcza	11	4	5	2	+0	-4.7	17
12	Korona Kielce	10	3	5	2	+3	+5.7	14
13	Piast Gliwice	10	3	5	2	+2	+7.8	14
14	Cracovia	12	3	5	4	+1	+1.1	14
15	LKS Lodz	12	3	4	5	-10	-8.2	13
16	Ruch Chorzow	12	2	6	4	-2	+1.5	12
17	Radomiak Radom	11	2	5	4	-3	-0.1	11
18	Warta Poznan	11	2	4	5	-4	-3.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	11	7	3	1	+8	-2.6	24
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	7	2	3	+13	-1.0	23
3	Warta Poznan	12	4	5	3	+0	-4.7	17
4	Jagiellonia	12	4	4	4	+0	-0.1	16
5	Legia	11	4	4	3	-2	-1.2	16
6	Lech Poznan	10	4	4	2	-2	-3.8	16
7	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-6	-1.3	14
8	Gornik Zabrze	12	3	3	6	-2	-0.8	12
9	Cracovia	11	2	6	3	-2	-0.9	12
10	Piast Gliwice	12	1	8	3	-5	-0.3	11
11	Stal Mielec	11	3	2	6	-8	-7.0	11
12	Zaglebie	11	3	2	6	-10	+1.7	11
13	Widzew Lodz	12	2	4	6	-3	-7.5	10
14	Rakow	10	2	3	5	-5	+3.4	9
15	Korona Kielce	12	1	5	6	-7	-8.1	8
16	Ruch Chorzow	11	0	6	5	-8	-5.8	6
17	Puszcza	11	1	2	8	-12	-10.7	5
18	LKS Lodz	11	0	0	11	-18	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.