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Championship
Referee: A Kitchen
Oxford
T T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Norwich
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oxford Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,3
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,91 xG 0,83
51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
5 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Oxford Norwich
1–0 M. Harris
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Josh Sargent
46′
🔁 A. Forson
↦ L. Gibbs
55′
🟨 Forson Amankwah
2–0 C. Brannagan
S. Long
58′
61′
🔁 J. Sørensen
↦ G. Hanley
61′
🔁 A. Idah
↦ C. Fassnacht
I. El Mizouni 🔁
↦ P. Płacheta
73′
Rúben Rodrigues 🟨
74′
76′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ M. Núñez
G. Leigh 🔁
↦ Ruben Rodrigues
86′
87′
🟨 Jacob Lungi Sørensen
90′
🔁 G. Forsyth
↦ Borja Sainz
G. O'Donkor 🔁
↦ M. Harris
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Oxford

4-1-4-1
1 J. Cumming G
2 S. Long D
5 E. Moore D
3 C. Brown D
12 J. Bennett D
4 W. Vaulks M
19 T. Goodrham M
20 Ruben Rodrigues M
8 C. Brannagan M
7 P. Płacheta M
9 M. Harris F
Bench (9)
15 I. El Mizouni
22 G. Leigh
39 G. O'Donkor
6 J. McEachran
14 L. Sibley
11 M. Ebiowei
30 P. Kioso
21 M. Ingram
34 J. Thorniley

Coach: D. Buckingham

Norwich

4-3-3
1 A. Gunn G
3 J. Stacey D
5 G. Hanley D
4 S. Duffy D
6 C. Doyle D
26 M. Núñez M
23 K. McLean M
8 L. Gibbs M
16 C. Fassnacht F
9 J. Sargent F
7 Borja Sainz F
Bench (9)
18 A. Forson
19 J. Sørensen
11 A. Idah
47 A. Kamara
41 G. Forsyth
44 E. Myles
12 G. Long
35 K. Fisher
40 B. Hills

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,04
U
3,49
B
2,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kitchen · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.